Universidad Catolica
Liga Pro
NS
--.--.---- --:--
Libertad
League: Liga Pro
Main Prediction
Away Win
Confidence 38%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability Model
Home
34%
X
28%
Away
38%
Tactical Setup
Universidad Catolica formation
4-2-3-1
Libertad formation
4-1-4-1
Universidad Catolica missing
0
Libertad missing
0
Key Squad Notes
Universidad Catolica scorers
B. Palacios (3 goals), E. Clavijo (2 goals), A. Londono (1 goals)
Universidad Catolica creators
Jhon Chancellor (2 assists), Mauro Díaz (2 assists), B. Palacios (1 assists)
Libertad scorers
A. Chere (2 goals), V. Branda (2 goals), B. Caicedo (1 goals)
Libertad creators
G. J. Cortez Casierra (2 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), A. Chere (1 assists)
Head-to-Head Snapshot
Universidad Catolica and Libertad have faced each other 5 times recently.
Quick Insight
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (38%)
Predicted formations: Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1 / Libertad 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Universidad Catolica wins 0, draws 3, Libertad wins 2
Match Analysis
Operating from 2 place with 16 points from 8 games, Universidad Catolica bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 13:4, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Palacios (3 goals), E. Clavijo (2 goals), A. Londono (1 goals), with creative support from Jhon Chancellor (2 assists), Mauro Díaz (2 assists), B. Palacios (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
So far, Libertad have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 10 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Chere (2 goals), V. Branda (2 goals), B. Caicedo (1 goals), with creative support from G. J. Cortez Casierra (2 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), A. Chere (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Universidad Catolica's more proactive style and Libertad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Libertad. Universidad Catolica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 16 points compared to Libertad in 10 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad Catolica expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Libertad in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Libertad having the stronger overall control.
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
12.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
09.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
4
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
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Last matches: Libertad
12.04.26
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Libertad
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2
D
21.03.26
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0
0
D
19.03.26
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0
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13.03.26
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Last matches: Universidad Catolica
09.04.26
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Universidad Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
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Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
4
1
W
17.03.26
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Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
08.03.26
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Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
13.02.26
CON
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
3
4
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Last matches: Libertad
12.04.26
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Libertad
Orense SC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
0
0
D
13.03.26
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Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
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L
28.02.26
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Head to Head
Universidad Catolica vs Libertad
5 matches
21.11.2025
Universidad Catolica 1 - 1 Libertad
FT
Liga Pro
19.10.2025
Libertad 1 - 1 Universidad Catolica
FT
Liga Pro
16.08.2025
Universidad Catolica 1 - 1 Libertad
FT
Liga Pro
29.04.2025
Libertad 3 - 1 Universidad Catolica
FT
Liga Pro
10.08.2024
Universidad Catolica 1 - 2 Libertad
FT
Liga Pro