FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
FT
3 - 3
TQL Stadium
Referee: Malik Badawi, USA
Chicago Fire
League: Major League Soccer
Venue: TQL Stadium
Referee: Malik Badawi, USA
FC Cincinnati
Match Timeline
Chicago Fire
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
S. Gidi
FC Cincinnati
🟨
11'
T. Barlow
FC Cincinnati
⚽
26'
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
⚽
42'
T. Barlow
FC Cincinnati
⚽
45+5'
P. Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire
πŸ”„
46'
G. Flores ↔ T. Hadebe
FC Cincinnati
⚽
48'
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
πŸ”„
64'
M. Robinson ↔ A. Powell
FC Cincinnati
πŸ”„
70'
T. Barlow ↔ A. Jabbari
FC Cincinnati
πŸ”„
70'
E. Echenique ↔ G. Valenzuela
FC Cincinnati
πŸ”„
73'
P. Zinckernagel ↔ J. Waterman
Chicago Fire
⚽
79'
Evander
FC Cincinnati
πŸ”„
83'
J. Dean ↔ D. Borso
Chicago Fire
πŸ”„
83'
R. Lod ↔ P. Dithejane
Chicago Fire
πŸ”„
86'
K. Mboma ↔ K. Smith
FC Cincinnati
⚽
86'
D. D'Avilla
FC Cincinnati
🟨
90'
B. J. Ramirez Leon
FC Cincinnati
🟨
90'
D. Borso
Chicago Fire
🟨
90'
P. Bucha
FC Cincinnati
πŸ”„
90+4'
M. Haile-Selassie ↔ V. Radojevic
Chicago Fire
🟨
90+9'
M. Mbokazi
Chicago Fire
🟨
90+9'
J. Elliott
Chicago Fire
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 100%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 63.5%
X 0%
Away 36.5%
1X 63.5%
X2 36.5%
12 100%

Tactical Setup

FC Cincinnati formation 3-4-1-2
Chicago Fire formation 4-4-2
FC Cincinnati missing 4
Chicago Fire missing 6

Key Squad Notes

FC Cincinnati scorers K. Denkey (2 goals), Ayoub Jabbari (1 goals), E. Echenique (1 goals)
FC Cincinnati creators E. Echenique (2 assists), K. Denkey (1 assists), Ayoub Jabbari (1 assists)
FC Cincinnati key absences S. Chirila, K. Fletcher, M. Robinson
FC Cincinnati suspended K. Denkey
Chicago Fire scorers H. Cuypers (4 goals), J. Bamba (2 goals), M. Haile-Selassie (1 goals)
Chicago Fire creators J. Bamba (2 assists), A. Gutman (1 assists)
Chicago Fire key absences A. Franco, C. Mueller, S. Rogers

Head-to-Head Snapshot

FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2 / Chicago Fire 4-4-2
Missing players: FC Cincinnati 4, Chicago Fire 6
H2H summary: FC Cincinnati wins 4, draws 0, Chicago Fire wins 1

Match Analysis

FC Cincinnati approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 7 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 10:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Denkey (2 goals), Ayoub Jabbari (1 goals), E. Echenique (1 goals), with creative support from E. Echenique (2 assists), K. Denkey (1 assists), Ayoub Jabbari (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without S. Chirila, K. Fletcher, M. Robinson, K. Denkey, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
Operating from 2 place with 13 points from 7 games, Chicago Fire bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 9:5, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Cuypers (4 goals), J. Bamba (2 goals), M. Haile-Selassie (1 goals), with creative support from J. Bamba (2 assists), A. Gutman (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Franco, C. Mueller, S. Rogers unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Chicago Fire's more proactive style and FC Cincinnati's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Chicago Fire carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 13 points while FC Cincinnati sit 10 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Cincinnati have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Cincinnati expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Chicago Fire in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chicago Fire having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chicago Fire.

Statistics

FC Cincinnati Stat Chicago Fire
9 Shots on Goal 6
10 Shots off Goal 4
23 Total Shots 18
4 Blocked Shots 8
22 Shots insidebox 10
1 Shots outsidebox 8
11 Fouls 9
9 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 7
484 Total passes 410
400 Passes accurate 317
83% Passes % 77%
3.71 expected_goals 1.77
1 goals_prevented 1
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1
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15.03.26
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Lineups

FC Cincinnati
Formation
Chicago Fire
6.2
Roman Celentano
18
Roman Celentano
6.3
Nick Hagglund
4
Nick Hagglund
6.7
Miles Robinson
12
↓
Miles Robinson
6.2
Gilberto Flores
3
↓
Gilberto Flores
7.5
Ender Echenique
66
↓
Ender Echenique
7.3
Pavel Bucha
20
Pavel Bucha
6.9
Samuel Gidi
11
Samuel Gidi
7.2
Bryan Ramirez
29
Bryan Ramirez
8.3
Evander
10
⚽
Evander
7.0
Kenji Mboma Dem
17
↓
Kenji Mboma Dem
6.9
Tom Barlow
16
⚽ ↓
Tom Barlow
9.2
Chris Brady
1
Chris Brady
6.2
Jonathan Dean
24
↓
Jonathan Dean
6.5
Jack Elliott
3
Jack Elliott
6.2
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
6.0
Andrew Gutman
15
Andrew Gutman
7.9
Philip Zinckernagel
11
⚽ ↓
Philip Zinckernagel
6.3
Anton Saletros
6
Anton Saletros
6.3
Dje Tah D'Avilla
42
⚽
Dje Tah D'Avilla
6.5
Maren Haile-Selassie
7
↓
Maren Haile-Selassie
8.3
Hugo Cuypers
9
⚽ 2
Hugo Cuypers
6.2
Robin Lod
17
↓
Robin Lod
FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
18
Roman Celentano
G
4
Nick Hagglund
D
12
Miles Robinson
↓ 64'
D
3
Gilberto Flores
↓ 46'
D
66
Ender Echenique
↓ 70'
M
20
Pavel Bucha
🟨 90'
M
11
Samuel Gidi
🟨 7'
M
29
Bryan Ramirez
🟨 90'
M
10
Evander
⚽ 79'
F
17
Kenji Mboma Dem
↓ 86'
F
16
Tom Barlow
⚽ 42' ↓ 70' 🟨 11'
F
Substitutes
15
Teenage Hadebe
↑ 46'
D
2
Alvas Powell
↑ 64'
D
22
Gerardo Valenzuela
↑ 70'
M
99
Ayoub Jabbari
↑ 70'
F
24
Kyle Smith
↑ 86'
D
13
Evan Louro
G
27
Tah Anunga
M
Chicago Fire 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Chris Brady
G
24
Jonathan Dean
↓ 83'
D
3
Jack Elliott
🟨 90+9'
D
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
🟨 90+9'
D
15
Andrew Gutman
D
11
Philip Zinckernagel
⚽ 45+5' ↓ 73'
M
6
Anton Saletros
M
42
Dje Tah D'Avilla
⚽ 86'
M
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
↓ 90+4'
M
9
Hugo Cuypers
⚽ 26' ⚽ 48'
F
17
Robin Lod
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
16
Joel Waterman
↑ 73'
D
12
Puso Dithejane
↑ 83'
F
27
Dylan Borso
↑ 83' 🟨 90'
F
14
Viktor Radojević
↑ 90+4'
D
44
Josh Cohen
G
35
Sergio Oregel
M
22
Mauricio Pineda
D
29
David Poreba
M
20
Jason Shokalook
F

Missing Players

FC Cincinnati 4 missing
-
K. Fletcher
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. Nwobodo
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
M. Miazga
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
K. Denkey
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
Chicago Fire 6 missing
-
A. Franco
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Mueller
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
S. Rogers
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
H. Cuypers
Questionable Head Injury
OUT
-
L. Barroso
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Bamba
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire 5 matches
05.07.2025
FC Cincinnati 2 - 1 Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
FT
20.04.2025
Chicago Fire 2 - 3 FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
FT
17.07.2024
FC Cincinnati 0 - 1 Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
FT
03.03.2024
Chicago Fire 1 - 2 FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
FT
03.06.2023
FC Cincinnati 1 - 0 Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
FT