Los Angeles Galaxy
CONCACAF Champions League
FT
0
-
3
Toluca
League: CONCACAF Champions League
Venue: Dignity Health Sports Park
Referee: Mario Escobar, Guatemala
Los Angeles Galaxy
Match Timeline
Toluca
Main Prediction
Away Win
Confidence 38%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability Model
Home
34%
X
28%
Away
38%
Tactical Setup
Los Angeles Galaxy formation
4-2-3-1
Toluca formation
3-4-3
Los Angeles Galaxy missing
0
Toluca missing
0
Key Squad Notes
Los Angeles Galaxy scorers
Gabriel Pec (6 goals), J. Paintsil (1 goals), Joao Klauss (1 goals)
Los Angeles Galaxy creators
Joao Klauss (2 assists), M. Reus (1 assists), H. Miller (1 assists)
Toluca scorers
Paulinho (4 goals), J. Angulo (2 goals), J. Gallardo (2 goals)
Toluca creators
J. Angulo (1 assists), J. Gallardo (1 assists), A. Vega (1 assists)
Head-to-Head Snapshot
Los Angeles Galaxy and Toluca have faced each other 2 times recently.
Quick Insight
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (38%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 3-4-3
H2H summary: Los Angeles Galaxy wins 0, draws 0, Toluca wins 2
Match Analysis
Los Angeles Galaxy enter this tie with a season profile built on - points from - matches, placing them - in their league. With - wins, - draws, and - losses plus a goal ratio of -:-, they bring poor form into this tie. Going forward they rely on Gabriel Pec (6 goals), J. Paintsil (1 goals), Joao Klauss (1 goals), with creative support from Joao Klauss (2 assists), M. Reus (1 assists), H. Miller (1 assists), while defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. Stylistically they continue to show a balanced approach.
Toluca enter this tie with a season profile built on - points from - matches, placing them - in their league. Their record of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with goals at -:- reflects poor form . Much of their attacking weight falls on Paulinho (4 goals), J. Angulo (2 goals), J. Gallardo (2 goals), with creative support from J. Angulo (1 assists), J. Gallardo (1 assists), A. Vega (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which supports an unclear split record. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a balanced approach.
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Toluca have the edge after taking the first leg 4-2, leaving Los Angeles Galaxy needing to respond to a 2-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, Toluca controlled more possession in the first leg (73% against 27%). Toluca carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 6 shots on goal compared to 3. Toluca circulated the ball more often, making 705 passes to 263 and completing 645. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Toluca. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Los Angeles Galaxy expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Toluca in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Toluca having the stronger overall control.
Statistics
Los Angeles Galaxy
Stat
Toluca
4
Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots off Goal
5
10
Total Shots
12
3
Blocked Shots
2
6
Shots insidebox
5
4
Shots outsidebox
7
7
Fouls
11
3
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
5
57%
Ball Possession
43%
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
519
Total passes
388
440
Passes accurate
317
85%
Passes %
82%
0
expected_goals
0
0
goals_prevented
0
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Lineups
Los Angeles Galaxy
Formation
Toluca
12
James Marcinkowski
2
Miki Yamane
4
Maya Yoshida
25
Carlos Garcés
3
Julián Aude
15
Justin Haak
6
Edwin Cerrillo
11
Gabriel Pec
27
Erik Thommy
18
Marco Reus
99
João Klauss
22
Luis Garcia
19
Santiago Simón
2
Diego Barbosa
4
Bruno Méndez
25
Everardo López
20
Jesús Gallardo
11
Helinho
8
Nicolás Castro
5
Franco Romero
10
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
26
Paulinho
Los Angeles Galaxy
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
James Marcinkowski
G
2
Miki Yamane
D
4
Maya Yoshida
D
25
Carlos Garcés
D
↓ 46'
3
Julián Aude
D
15
Justin Haak
M
🟨 82'
6
Edwin Cerrillo
M
↓ 69'
11
Gabriel Pec
M
27
Erik Thommy
M
↓ 68'
18
Marco Reus
M
↓ 73'
99
João Klauss
F
↓ 68'
Substitutes
22
Elijah Wynder
M
↑ 46'
24
Ruben Ramos
F
↑ 68'
28
Joseph Paintsil
F
↑ 68'
8
Lucas Sanabria
M
↑ 69'
16
Isaiah Parente
M
↑ 73'
1
Novak Mićović
G
31
Brady Scott
G
19
Mauricio Cuevas
D
20
Chris Rindov
D
26
Harbor Miller
D
14
John Nelson
D
21
Tucker Lepley
M
Toluca
5-4-1
Starting XI
22
Luis Garcia
G
19
Santiago Simón
D
2
Diego Barbosa
D
🟨 54'
4
Bruno Méndez
D
↓ 82'
25
Everardo López
D
20
Jesús Gallardo
D
⚽ 10'
11
Helinho
M
🎯 58'
↓ 64'
8
Nicolás Castro
M
🎯 64'
↓ 83'
5
Franco Romero
M
🎯 10'
10
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
M
↓ 73'
26
Paulinho
F
⚽ 58'
⚽ 64'
↓ 73'
Substitutes
15
Pavel Pérez
M
↑ 64'
14
Marcel Ruíz
M
↑ 73'
29
Jorge Díaz
M
↑ 73'
3
Antonio Briseño
D
↑ 82'
27
Franco Rossi
F
↑ 83'
1
Hugo Gonzalez
G
17
Mauricio Andre Isais
D
24
Fernando Arce Juárez
M
9
Alexis Vega
F
33
Victor Arteaga
M
7
Sebastián Córdova
M
23
Oswaldo Virgen
F
Head to Head
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca
2 matches
09.04.2026
Toluca 4 - 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
FT
CONCACAF Champions League
02.10.2025
Los Angeles Galaxy 2 - 3 Toluca
FT
Campeones Cup