Fluminense
CONMEBOL Libertadores
FT
1 - 2
EstΓ‘dio do MaracanΓ£
Referee: J. Ospina
Independ. Rivadavia
League: CONMEBOL Libertadores
Venue: EstΓ‘dio do MaracanΓ£
Referee: J. Ospina
Fluminense
Match Timeline
Independ. Rivadavia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
Guilherme Arana Β· Assist: J. Savarino
Fluminense
🟨
17'
M. Fernandez
Independ. Rivadavia
🟨
33'
E. Bonifacio
Independ. Rivadavia
⚽
37'
F. Sartori Β· Assist: L. Costa
Independ. Rivadavia
πŸ”„
46'
Hercules ↔ F. Bernal
Fluminense
⚽
51'
A. Arce Β· Assist: S. Villa
Independ. Rivadavia
πŸ”„
66'
Samuel Xavier ↔ Guga
Fluminense
πŸ”„
66'
PH Ganso ↔ K. Serna
Fluminense
🟨
68'
F. Sartori
Independ. Rivadavia
πŸ”„
74'
L. Gomez ↔ A. Osella
Independ. Rivadavia
πŸ”„
74'
E. Bonifacio ↔ J. M. Elordi
Independ. Rivadavia
πŸ”„
77'
Ignacio ↔ John Kennedy
Fluminense
πŸ”„
81'
A. Canobbio ↔ Wesley Nata
Fluminense
πŸ”„
81'
A. Arce ↔ L. Bucca
Independ. Rivadavia
πŸ”„
81'
M. Fernandez ↔ G. Rios
Independ. Rivadavia
🟨
84'
Wesley Nata
Fluminense
πŸ”„
87'
F. Sartori ↔ I. Villalba
Independ. Rivadavia
🟨
89'
N. Bolcato
Independ. Rivadavia
Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 38%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5

Probability Model

Home 34%
X 28%
Away 38%

Tactical Setup

Fluminense formation 4-2-3-1
Independ. Rivadavia formation 4-1-3-2
Fluminense missing 0
Independ. Rivadavia missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Independ. Rivadavia scorers C. Lampe (1 goals)

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (38%)
Predicted formations: Fluminense 4-2-3-1 / Independ. Rivadavia 4-1-3-2

Match Analysis

Placed 3 with 1 points from 1 outings, Fluminense continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, while the 0:0 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 1 with 3 points from 1 outings, Independ. Rivadavia continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 1:0 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Lampe (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Independ. Rivadavia's more proactive style and Fluminense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Independ. Rivadavia. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fluminense expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Independ. Rivadavia in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independ. Rivadavia having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independ. Rivadavia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 3 points while Fluminense sit 3 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Statistics

Fluminense Stat Independ. Rivadavia
9 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots off Goal 3
21 Total Shots 7
2 Blocked Shots 0
12 Shots insidebox 5
9 Shots outsidebox 2
10 Fouls 12
1 Corner Kicks 1
0 Offsides 0
71% Ball Possession 29%
1 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 8
616 Total passes 246
535 Passes accurate 165
87% Passes % 67%
1.14 expected_goals 1.01
0 goals_prevented 0
Last matches: Fluminense
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
2
L
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
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1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
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1
0
W
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Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
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1
W
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CON
Independ. Rivadavia
BolΓ­var
1
0
W
02.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
2
0
W
23.03.26
Lig
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2
0
W
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Independ. Rivadavia
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3
2
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12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
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1
2
L
02.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
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3
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
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3
2
W
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1
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Last matches: Independ. Rivadavia
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Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
3
2
W
26.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
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1
1
D
10.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
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0
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Lineups

Fluminense
Formation
Independ. Rivadavia
6.9
Fabio
1
Fabio
6.7
Samuel Xavier
2
↓
Samuel Xavier
6.6
Ignacio
4
↓
Ignacio
6.7
J. Freytes
22
J. Freytes
7.2
Guilherme Arana
13
⚽
Guilherme Arana
6.6
Hercules
35
↓
Hercules
7.0
Martinelli
8
Martinelli
6.7
A. Canobbio
17
↓
A. Canobbio
6.9
PH Ganso
10
↓
PH Ganso
7.0
J. Savarino
11
🎯
J. Savarino
6.0
R. Castillo
19
R. Castillo
7.3
N. Bolcato
1
N. Bolcato
6.2
E. Bonifacio
36
↓
E. Bonifacio
6.9
L. Costa
2
🎯
L. Costa
6.5
S. Studer
42
S. Studer
6.7
L. Gomez
14
↓
L. Gomez
6.3
T. Bottari
5
T. Bottari
6.5
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla
25
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla
6.7
M. Fernandez
10
↓
M. Fernandez
7.3
F. Sartori
43
⚽ ↓
F. Sartori
6.3
S. Villa
22
🎯
S. Villa
6.9
A. Arce
9
⚽ ↓
A. Arce
Fluminense 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Fabio
G
2
Samuel Xavier
↓ 66'
D
4
Ignacio
↓ 77'
D
22
J. Freytes
D
13
Guilherme Arana
⚽ 10'
D
35
Hercules
↓ 46'
M
8
Martinelli
M
17
A. Canobbio
↓ 81'
M
10
PH Ganso
↓ 66'
M
11
J. Savarino
🎯 10'
M
19
R. Castillo
F
Substitutes
98
Vitor Eudes
G
25
Alisson
M
23
Guga
↑ 66'
D
3
Jemmes
D
21
Igor Rabello
D
9
John Kennedy
↑ 77'
F
34
Wesley Nata
↑ 81' 🟨 84'
94
Otavio
M
6
Rene
D
29
J. Millan
D
90
K. Serna
↑ 66'
F
5
F. Bernal
↑ 46'
M
Independ. Rivadavia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
N. Bolcato
🟨 89'
G
36
E. Bonifacio
↓ 74' 🟨 33'
D
2
L. Costa
🎯 37'
D
42
S. Studer
D
14
L. Gomez
↓ 74'
D
5
T. Bottari
M
25
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla
M
10
M. Fernandez
↓ 81' 🟨 17'
M
43
F. Sartori
⚽ 37' ↓ 87' 🟨 68'
M
22
S. Villa
🎯 51'
M
9
A. Arce
⚽ 51' ↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
21
E. F. Gomez Riga
G
7
V. Ramis
F
8
L. Bucca
↑ 81'
M
27
D. Crego
M
11
G. Rios
↑ 81'
M
19
R. Atencio
F
13
A. Osella
↑ 74'
D
17
B. Dadin
F
3
J. M. Elordi
↑ 74'
D
40
I. Villalba
↑ 87'
D
20
A. Riep
M
32
K. A. Vazquez
M