Palmeiras
CONMEBOL Libertadores
FT
2
-
1
Sporting Cristal
League: CONMEBOL Libertadores
Venue: Allianz Parque
Referee: Piero Maza, Chile
Palmeiras
Match Timeline
Sporting Cristal
Main Prediction
Away Win
Confidence 38%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability Model
Home
34%
X
28%
Away
38%
Tactical Setup
Palmeiras formation
4-2-3-1
Sporting Cristal formation
4-3-3
Palmeiras missing
0
Sporting Cristal missing
0
Key Squad Notes
Palmeiras scorers
R. Sosa (1 goals)
Palmeiras creators
J. Lopez (1 assists)
Sporting Cristal scorers
Y. Yotun (2 goals), F. Vizeu (1 goals), M. Castro (1 goals)
Sporting Cristal creators
Y. Yotun (1 assists), L. Sosa (1 assists)
Head-to-Head Snapshot
Palmeiras and Sporting Cristal have faced each other 2 times recently.
Quick Insight
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (38%)
Predicted formations: Palmeiras 4-2-3-1 / Sporting Cristal 4-3-3
H2H summary: Palmeiras wins 2, draws 0, Sporting Cristal wins 0
Match Analysis
Palmeiras come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 1 points from 1 matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 1:1 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Sosa (1 goals), with creative support from J. Lopez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sporting Cristal approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 3 points after 1 outings. The return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 1:0, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Y. Yotun (2 goals), F. Vizeu (1 goals), M. Castro (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Yotun (1 assists), L. Sosa (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sporting Cristal's more proactive style and Palmeiras's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sporting Cristal. Sporting Cristal carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 3 points while Palmeiras sit 3 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Palmeiras expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sporting Cristal in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Cristal having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Statistics
Palmeiras
Stat
Sporting Cristal
6
Shots on Goal
2
9
Shots off Goal
3
23
Total Shots
8
8
Blocked Shots
3
9
Shots insidebox
3
14
Shots outsidebox
5
4
Fouls
9
8
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
2
65%
Ball Possession
35%
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
478
Total passes
260
413
Passes accurate
192
86%
Passes %
74%
2.16
expected_goals
0.72
0
goals_prevented
0
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Ser
Palmeiras
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0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
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1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
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2
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
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1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
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1
0
W
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Last matches: Sporting Cristal
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L
04.03.26
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1
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W
28.02.26
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Lineups
Palmeiras
Formation
Sporting Cristal
1
Carlos Miguel
4
Agustín Giay
15
Gustavo Gomez
26
Murilo
12
Khellven
8
Andreas Pereira
17
Marlon Freitas
40
Allan
19
Ramón Sosa
11
Jhon Arias
42
José López
1
Diego Enríquez
8
Leandro Sosa
20
Miguel Araujo
5
Rafael Lutiger
90
Cristiano
18
Juan Gonzalez
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
19
Yoshimar Yotún
23
Maxloren Castro
16
Luis Iberico
11
Irven Avila
Palmeiras
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Carlos Miguel
G
4
Agustín Giay
D
↓ 70'
15
Gustavo Gomez
D
26
Murilo
D
⚽ 27'
12
Khellven
D
8
Andreas Pereira
M
17
Marlon Freitas
M
40
Allan
M
🎯 27'
↓ 88'
19
Ramón Sosa
M
↓ 70'
11
Jhon Arias
M
↓ 88'
42
José López
F
⚽ 80'
Substitutes
56
Arthur Gabriel
D
↑ 70'
31
Luighi Hanri
F
↑ 70'
30
Lucas Evangelista
M
↑ 88'
7
Felipe Anderson
M
↑ 88'
24
Aranha
G
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
3
Bruno Fuchs
D
48
Larson
M
32
Emiliano Martínez
M
Sporting Cristal
4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Diego Enríquez
G
🟨 79'
8
Leandro Sosa
D
↓ 85'
20
Miguel Araujo
D
5
Rafael Lutiger
D
90
Cristiano
D
18
Juan Gonzalez
M
⚽ 41'
↓ 70'
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
M
↓ 85'
19
Yoshimar Yotún
M
23
Maxloren Castro
M
↓ 59'
16
Luis Iberico
F
11
Irven Avila
F
🎯 41'
↓ 59'
Substitutes
7
Santiago González
F
↑ 59'
🟨 73'
9
Felipe Vizeu
F
↑ 59'
🟨 90+3'
41
Joao Cuenca
D
↑ 70'
14
Cristian Benavente
F
↑ 85'
97
Mateo Rodríguez
F
↑ 85'
33
César Bautista
G
37
Fabrizio Lora
D
15
Alejandro Pósito
D
96
Luis Abram
D
44
Gerson Castillo
M
26
Ian Wisdom
M
40
Jair Moretti
F
Head to Head
Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal
2 matches
29.05.2025
Palmeiras 6 - 0 Sporting Cristal
FT
CONMEBOL Libertadores
03.04.2025
Sporting Cristal 2 - 3 Palmeiras
FT
CONMEBOL Libertadores