Monterrey
Liga MX
NS
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio BBVA
Referee: -
Pachuca
League: Liga MX
Venue: Estadio BBVA
Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 38%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5

Probability Model

Home 34%
X 28%
Away 38%

Tactical Setup

Monterrey formation 4-2-3-1
Pachuca formation 4-2-3-1
Monterrey missing 0
Pachuca missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Monterrey scorers G. Berterame (13 goals), S. Canales (13 goals), L. Ocampos (5 goals)
Monterrey creators Óliver Torres (8 assists), S. Canales (6 assists), L. Ocampos (6 assists)
Pachuca scorers Kenedy (7 goals), E. Valencia (5 goals), Oussama Idrissi (5 goals)
Pachuca creators V. Guzman (7 assists), Brian García (4 assists), Oussama Idrissi (3 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Monterrey and Pachuca have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (38%)
Predicted formations: Monterrey 4-2-3-1 / Pachuca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Monterrey wins 2, draws 0, Pachuca wins 3

Match Analysis

With 15 points from 14 games and a place of 13, Monterrey still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats with a 19:17 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Berterame (13 goals), S. Canales (13 goals), L. Ocampos (5 goals), with creative support from Óliver Torres (8 assists), S. Canales (6 assists), L. Ocampos (6 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Pachuca come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 28 points after 14 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a 21:13 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Kenedy (7 goals), E. Valencia (5 goals), Oussama Idrissi (5 goals), with creative support from V. Guzman (7 assists), Brian García (4 assists), Oussama Idrissi (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pachuca. Pachuca carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 28 points while Monterrey sit 13 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Monterrey have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Last matches: Monterrey
12.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
3
L
18.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
2
2
D
Show more matches
Last matches: Pachuca
12.04.26
Lig
Pachuca
Santos Laguna
4
2
W
05.04.26
Lig
Pachuca
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Pachuca
Toluca
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Pachuca
Puebla
2
1
W
Show more matches
Last matches: Monterrey
04.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
05.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
Show more matches
Last matches: Pachuca
05.04.26
Lig
Pachuca
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Pachuca
Mazatlán
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Pachuca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Pachuca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
Show more matches

Head to Head

Monterrey vs Pachuca 5 matches
13.07.2025
Pachuca 3 - 0 Monterrey
Liga MX
FT
28.04.2025
Monterrey 1 - 2 Pachuca
Liga MX
FT
26.01.2025
Monterrey 2 - 3 Pachuca
Liga MX
FT
08.07.2024
Pachuca 0 - 1 Monterrey
Liga MX
FT
11.02.2024
Monterrey 3 - 2 Pachuca
Liga MX
FT