Palermo
Serie B
NS
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Referee: G. Collu
Cesena
League: Serie B
Venue: Stadio Renzo Barbera
Referee: G. Collu
Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 38%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5

Probability Model

Home 34%
X 28%
Away 38%

Tactical Setup

Palermo formation 3-4-2-1
Cesena formation 4-2-3-1
Palermo missing 0
Cesena missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Palermo scorers J. Pohjanpalo (21 goals), Filippo Ranocchia (6 goals), J. Le Douaron (5 goals)
Palermo creators A. Palumbo (10 assists), J. Pohjanpalo (7 assists), J. Le Douaron (4 assists)
Cesena scorers C. Shpendi (10 goals), R. Ciervo (5 goals), Gianluca Frabotta (4 goals)
Cesena creators T. Berti (7 assists), C. Shpendi (4 assists), R. Ciervo (3 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Palermo and Cesena have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (38%)
Predicted formations: Palermo 3-4-2-1 / Cesena 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Palermo wins 0, draws 4, Cesena wins 1

Match Analysis

Palermo come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 65 points from 34 matches. The record of 18 wins, 11 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 55:28 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Pohjanpalo (21 goals), Filippo Ranocchia (6 goals), J. Le Douaron (5 goals), with creative support from A. Palumbo (10 assists), J. Pohjanpalo (7 assists), J. Le Douaron (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Cesena are currently 8 in the standings with 44 points from 34 matches. The record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 42:50 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Shpendi (10 goals), R. Ciervo (5 goals), Gianluca Frabotta (4 goals), with creative support from T. Berti (7 assists), C. Shpendi (4 assists), R. Ciervo (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Palermo's more proactive style and Cesena's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Palermo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 65 points compared to Cesena in 8 on 44, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cesena. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Palermo expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Cesena in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cesena having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Last matches: Palermo
10.04.26
Ser
Palermo
Frosinone
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Palermo
Avellino
2
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Padova
1
0
W
17.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Monza
0
3
L
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Last matches: Cesena
11.04.26
Ser
Cesena
Juve Stabia
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Cesena
Sudtirol
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Cesena
Catanzaro
3
1
W
17.03.26
Ser
Cesena
Mantova
0
3
L
14.03.26
Ser
Cesena
Frosinone
2
2
D
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Last matches: Palermo
05.04.26
Ser
Palermo
Avellino
2
0
W
17.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
04.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Mantova
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Palermo
Sudtirol
3
0
W
14.02.26
Ser
Palermo
Virtus Entella
3
0
W
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Last matches: Cesena
11.04.26
Ser
Cesena
Juve Stabia
0
2
L
17.03.26
Ser
Cesena
Mantova
0
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Cesena
Modena
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ser
Cesena
Empoli
1
1
D
10.02.26
Ser
Cesena
Virtus Entella
1
3
L
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Head to Head

Palermo vs Cesena 5 matches
27.09.2025
Cesena 1 - 1 Palermo
Serie B
FT
04.05.2025
Cesena 2 - 1 Palermo
Serie B
FT
21.09.2024
Palermo 0 - 0 Cesena
Serie B
FT
12.05.2018
Palermo 0 - 0 Cesena
Serie B
FT
21.12.2017
Cesena 1 - 1 Palermo
Serie B
FT