Catanzaro
Serie B
FT
4 - 2
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Referee: Marco Piccinini, Italy
Spezia
Catanzaro
Match Timeline
Spezia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
J. Petriccione · Assist: C. Favasuli
Catanzaro
⚽
44'
M. Valoti · Assist: G. Lapadula
Spezia
🟨
45'
G. Di Serio
Spezia
⚽
63'
Fellipe Jack · Assist: C. Favasuli
Catanzaro
🟨
66'
J. Petriccione
Catanzaro
🔄
67'
G. Di Serio ↔ L. Skjellerup
Spezia
🔄
67'
A. Nagy ↔ A. Romano
Spezia
🔄
71'
J. Petriccione ↔ F. Rispoli
Catanzaro
🟨
75'
P. Hristov
Spezia
🔄
77'
Fellipe Jack ↔ R. Frosinini
Catanzaro
🔄
78'
S. Pontisso ↔ M. Pompetti
Catanzaro
🔄
78'
M. Liberali ↔ P. Nuamah
Catanzaro
🔄
78'
P. Beruatto ↔ E. Adamo
Spezia
⚽
78'
F. Pittarello · Assist: T. Cassandro
Catanzaro
🟨
80'
M. Valoti
Spezia
⚽
82'
F. Pittarello · Assist: F. Di Francesco
Catanzaro
🔄
87'
L. Sernicola ↔ L. Vignali
Spezia
🔄
87'
C. Comotto ↔ A. Bellemo
Spezia
🔄
89'
F. Di Francesco ↔ G. Esteves
Catanzaro
⚽
90+3'
G. Lapadula
Spezia
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 94.8%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 66.4%
X 5.2%
Away 28.4%
1X 71.6%
X2 33.6%
12 94.8%

Tactical Setup

Catanzaro formation 3-4-2-1
Spezia formation 3-5-1-1
Catanzaro missing 0
Spezia missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Catanzaro scorers P. Iemmello (10 goals), Filippo Pittarello (8 goals), Alphadjo Cissè (6 goals)
Catanzaro creators P. Iemmello (9 assists), Filippo Pittarello (6 assists), S. Pontisso (6 assists)
Spezia scorers G. Artistico (11 goals), G. Aurelio (6 goals), G. Lapadula (4 goals)
Spezia creators P. Beruatto (4 assists), G. Aurelio (3 assists), Mattia Valoti (3 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Catanzaro and Spezia have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Catanzaro 3-4-2-1 / Spezia 3-5-1-1
H2H summary: Catanzaro wins 1, draws 1, Spezia wins 3

Match Analysis

Placed 5 with 56 points from 35 outings, Catanzaro continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 14 wins, 14 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 51:40 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Iemmello (10 goals), Filippo Pittarello (8 goals), Alphadjo Cissè (6 goals), with creative support from P. Iemmello (9 assists), Filippo Pittarello (6 assists), S. Pontisso (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Spezia sit 19 with 33 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 32:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Artistico (11 goals), G. Aurelio (6 goals), G. Lapadula (4 goals), with creative support from P. Beruatto (4 assists), G. Aurelio (3 assists), Mattia Valoti (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Catanzaro's more proactive style and Spezia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Catanzaro arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 56 points compared to Spezia in 19 on 33, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Spezia. Spezia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Catanzaro expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Spezia in 3-5-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Spezia having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Stats
Catanzaro Catanzaro
Spezia Spezia
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
9 Corner Kicks 2
10 Fouls 20
1 Offsides 1
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Goal 4
1 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
413 Total passes 229
351 Passes accurate 155
1.79 expected_goals 2.04
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥
Last matches: Catanzaro
18.04.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
14.04.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Modena
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Avellino
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Monza
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Cesena
1
3
L
14.03.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Padova
3
1
W
08.03.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Empoli
3
2
W
04.03.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Carrarese
3
3
D
01.03.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Frosinone
2
2
D
21.02.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
3
1
W
14.02.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Mantova
2
0
W
10.02.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Pescara
2
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Reggiana
2
0
W
31.01.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Sudtirol
1
2
L
25.01.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Sampdoria
0
0
D
17.01.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Venezia
1
3
L
10.01.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Frosinone
0
2
L
27.12.25
Ser
Catanzaro
Cesena
2
0
W
19.12.25
Ser
Catanzaro
Bari
2
1
W
13.12.25
Ser
Catanzaro
Avellino
1
0
W
Last matches: Spezia
18.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Sudtirol
6
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Mantova
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Carrarese
1
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Juve Stabia
1
3
L
17.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Empoli
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Modena
0
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Monza
4
2
W
03.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Padova
2
2
D
28.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Reggiana
0
1
L
21.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Cesena
3
2
W
15.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Frosinone
0
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Bari
0
0
D
07.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
31.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Sampdoria
0
1
L
24.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Avellino
1
0
W
18.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Palermo
0
1
L
10.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Sudtirol
1
2
L
27.12.25
Ser
Spezia
Pescara
2
1
W
20.12.25
Ser
Spezia
Frosinone
1
2
L
13.12.25
Ser
Spezia
Modena
0
2
L
Last matches: Catanzaro
14.04.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Modena
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Monza
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Empoli
3
2
W
01.03.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Frosinone
2
2
D
14.02.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Mantova
2
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Reggiana
2
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
Catanzaro
Sampdoria
0
0
D
27.12.25
Ser
Catanzaro
Cesena
2
0
W
13.12.25
Ser
Catanzaro
Avellino
1
0
W
29.11.25
Ser
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
3
2
W
21.11.25
Ser
Catanzaro
Pescara
3
3
D
02.11.25
Ser
Catanzaro
Venezia
2
1
W
25.10.25
Ser
Catanzaro
Palermo
1
0
W
19.10.25
Ser
Catanzaro
Padova
0
1
L
26.09.25
Ser
Catanzaro
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
13.09.25
Ser
Catanzaro
Carrarese
1
1
D
24.08.25
Ser
Catanzaro
Sudtirol
1
1
D
Last matches: Spezia
06.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Carrarese
1
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Juve Stabia
1
3
L
13.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Modena
0
3
L
03.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Padova
2
2
D
21.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Cesena
3
2
W
11.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Bari
0
0
D
31.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Sampdoria
0
1
L
18.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Palermo
0
1
L
10.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Sudtirol
1
2
L
20.12.25
Ser
Spezia
Frosinone
1
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
Spezia
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
23.11.25
Ser
Spezia
Mantova
1
4
L
02.11.25
Ser
Spezia
Monza
0
1
L
25.10.25
Ser
Spezia
Avellino
4
0
W
30.09.25
Ser
Spezia
Reggiana
1
1
D
27.09.25
Ser
Spezia
Venezia
0
2
L
24.09.25
Cop
Spezia
Parma
2
2
D
14.09.25
Ser
Spezia
Empoli
1
1
D

Lineups

Catanzaro
Formation
Spezia
6.7
Mirko Pigliacelli
22
Mirko Pigliacelli
7.5
Tommaso Cassandro
84
🎯
Tommaso Cassandro
6.3
Matias Antonini
4
Matias Antonini
7.6
Fellipe Jack
6
⚽ ↓
Fellipe Jack
7.5
Costantino Favasuli
27
🎯
Costantino Favasuli
7.0
Simone Pontisso
20
↓
Simone Pontisso
7.9
Jacopo Petriccione
10
⚽ ↓
Jacopo Petriccione
6.9
Federico Di Francesco
94
🎯 ↓
Federico Di Francesco
6.3
Mattia Liberali
14
↓
Mattia Liberali
7.5
Gabriele Alesi
30
Gabriele Alesi
6.9
Filippo Pittarello
8
⚽ 2
Filippo Pittarello
6.9
Diego Mascardi
12
Diego Mascardi
6.2
Leonardo Sernicola
17
↓
Leonardo Sernicola
6.9
Ales Mateju
37
Ales Mateju
6.7
Petko Hristov
55
Petko Hristov
5.9
Giuseppe Aurelio
31
Giuseppe Aurelio
6.2
Pietro Beruatto
11
↓
Pietro Beruatto
6.2
Giuseppe Di Serio
20
↓
Giuseppe Di Serio
6.6
Christian Comotto
34
↓
Christian Comotto
6.5
Ádám Nagy
8
↓
Ádám Nagy
7.6
Mattia Valoti
5
⚽
Mattia Valoti
6.3
Gianluca Lapadula
10
⚽ 🎯
Gianluca Lapadula
Catanzaro 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
22
Mirko Pigliacelli
G
84
Tommaso Cassandro
🎯 78'
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
6
Fellipe Jack
⚽ 63' ↓ 77'
D
27
Costantino Favasuli
🎯 24' 🎯 63'
M
20
Simone Pontisso
↓ 78'
M
10
Jacopo Petriccione
⚽ 24' ↓ 71' 🟨 66'
M
94
Federico Di Francesco
🎯 82' ↓ 89'
M
14
Mattia Liberali
↓ 78'
F
30
Gabriele Alesi
F
8
Filippo Pittarello
⚽ 78' ⚽ 82'
F
Substitutes
32
Fabio Rispoli
↑ 71'
M
62
Ruggero Frosinini
↑ 77'
D
21
Marco Pompetti
↑ 78'
M
19
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
↑ 78'
F
2
Gonçalo Esteves
↑ 89'
D
1
Christian Marietta
G
12
Lorenzo Madia
G
26
Bruno Verrengia
D
5
Ervin Bashi
D
98
Davide Buglio
M
39
N'Dri Koffi
F
28
Rémi Oudin
M
Spezia 5-4-1
Starting XI
12
Diego Mascardi
G
17
Leonardo Sernicola
↓ 87'
D
37
Ales Mateju
D
55
Petko Hristov
🟨 75'
D
31
Giuseppe Aurelio
D
11
Pietro Beruatto
↓ 78'
D
20
Giuseppe Di Serio
↓ 67' 🟨 45'
M
34
Christian Comotto
↓ 87'
M
8
Ádám Nagy
↓ 67'
M
5
Mattia Valoti
⚽ 44' 🟨 80'
M
10
Gianluca Lapadula
⚽ 90+3' 🎯 44'
F
Substitutes
60
Alessandro Romano
↑ 67'
M
90
Laurs Skjellerup
↑ 67'
F
70
Emanuele Adamo
↑ 78'
M
6
Alessandro Bellemo
↑ 87'
M
32
Luca Vignali
↑ 87'
D
16
Leonardo Loria
G
85
Sasha Guidi
G
94
Giovanni Bonfanti
D
4
Marco Ruggero
D
24
Andrea Bertoncini
D
25
Filippo Bandinelli
M

Head to Head

Catanzaro vs Spezia 5 matches
30.08.2025
Spezia 0 - 0 Catanzaro
Serie B
FT
25.05.2025
Spezia 2 - 1 Catanzaro
Serie B
FT
21.05.2025
Catanzaro 0 - 2 Spezia
Serie B
FT
23.02.2025
Spezia 0 - 1 Catanzaro
Serie B
FT
21.12.2024
Catanzaro 0 - 1 Spezia
Serie B
FT