MOFA
KENYA
›
SUPER LEAGUE
FT
0
-
0
Mwatate United
Main Prediction
Home Win
Confidence 100%
1X2
1X2
100%
Home Win
0 agree /
0 disagree
BTTS
89%
BTTS No
0 agree /
0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
66.6%
Under 2.5
0 agree /
0 disagree
Probability Model
Home
89.6%
X
0%
Away
10.4%
1X
89.6%
X2
10.4%
12
100%
Tactical Setup
MOFA formation
-
Mwatate United formation
-
MOFA missing
0
Mwatate United missing
0
Key Squad Notes
Head-to-Head Snapshot
MOFA and Mwatate United have faced each other 2 times recently.
Quick Insight
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: MOFA wins 1, draws 1, Mwatate United wins 0
Match Analysis
MOFA come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 53 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 11 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 37:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
With 24 points from 29 games and a place of 18, Mwatate United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 21:46 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by MOFA's more proactive style and Mwatate United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mwatate United having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mwatate United. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. MOFA arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 53 points compared to Mwatate United in 18 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Mwatate United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Showing odds from: Bet365
MATCH WINNER
Home
1.27
Draw
4.75
Away
8.00
HOME/AWAY
Home
1.08
Away
7.00
ASIAN HANDICAP
Home -1.5
1.82
Away -1.5
1.98
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5
1.73
Under 2.5
2.08
HT/FT DOUBLE
Home/Draw
21.00
Home/Away
51.00
Draw/Away
17.00
Draw/Draw
7.50
Home/Home
1.83
Draw/Home
3.75
Away/Home
23.00
Away/Draw
23.00
Away/Away
15.00
EXACT SCORE
1:0
6.50
2:0
6.00
2:1
11.00
3:0
7.50
3:1
15.00
3:2
34.00
4:0
11.00
4:1
23.00
0:0
11.00
1:1
11.00
2:2
26.00
0:1
21.00
0:2
41.00
0:3
81.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
67.00
2:3
67.00
3:3
81.00
4:2
51.00
5:0
21.00
5:1
41.00
5:2
81.00
6:0
41.00
6:1
51.00
7:0
51.00
DOUBLE CHANCE
Home/Draw
1.03
Home/Away
1.12
Draw/Away
3.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home
1.73
Draw
2.50
Away
8.50
TEAM TO SCORE FIRST
Home
1.30
Draw
11.00
Away
4.00
ASIAN HANDICAP FIRST HALF
Home -0.5
1.75
Away -0.5
2.05
DOUBLE CHANCE - FIRST HALF
Home/Draw
1.05
Home/Away
1.50
Draw/Away
2.00
ODD/EVEN
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
ODD/EVEN - FIRST HALF
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
CORRECT SCORE - FIRST HALF
1:0
3.25
2:0
6.00
2:1
21.00
3:0
13.00
3:1
41.00
4:0
34.00
4:1
81.00
0:0
3.00
1:1
12.00
2:2
81.00
0:1
10.00
0:2
41.00
0:3
81.00
1:2
51.00
5:0
67.00
GOAL LINE
Over 2.5
1.92
Under 2.5
1.88
Over 2.75
1.92
Under 2.75
1.88
ODD/EVEN - SECOND HALF
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
GOAL LINE (1ST HALF)
Over 1
1.70
Under 1
2.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home
1.27
Draw
4.75
Away
8.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home
1.73
Draw
2.50
Away
8.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5
1.73
Under 2.5
2.08
Last matches: MOFA
18.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
0
0
D
14.04.26
Sup
MOFA
MCF
0
0
D
10.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
0
0
D
04.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
21.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
1
0
W
27.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
4
2
W
11.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
1
1
D
21.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
4
0
W
17.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
13.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Talanta
0
0
D
07.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
3
1
W
03.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
3
2
W
29.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
4
0
W
Last matches: Mwatate United
18.04.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
11.04.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Talanta
0
0
D
04.04.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Soy United
0
2
L
28.03.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Migori Youth
1
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
14.03.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Nairobi City Stars
0
1
L
28.02.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Gucha Stars
3
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Kabati Youth FC
0
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Darajani Gogo
2
2
D
01.02.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Soy United
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Talanta
2
1
W
11.01.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
2
1
W
21.12.25
Sup
Mwatate United
MOFA
0
4
L
17.12.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Mombasa Elite
0
3
L
12.12.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Fortune Sacco
1
3
L
07.12.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
03.12.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
30.11.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
H2H: MOFA vs Mwatate United
25.04.26
H2H
MOFA
Mwatate United
0
0
D
21.12.25
H2H
Mwatate United
MOFA
0
4
W
Last matches: MOFA
14.04.26
Sup
MOFA
MCF
0
0
D
10.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
0
0
D
21.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
07.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
1
1
D
17.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
07.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
3
1
W
29.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
4
0
W
15.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
03.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Soy United
1
1
D
25.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
28.09.25
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
H2H at home: MOFA
25.04.26
H2H
MOFA
Mwatate United
0
0
D
Last matches: Mwatate United
11.04.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Talanta
0
0
D
21.03.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
07.03.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Nairobi City Stars
0
1
L
22.02.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Kabati Youth FC
0
2
L
01.02.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Soy United
0
1
L
11.01.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
2
1
W
17.12.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Mombasa Elite
0
3
L
07.12.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
30.11.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
16.11.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
02.11.25
Sup
Mwatate United
3K
1
1
D
25.10.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Naivas
1
3
L
28.09.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Migori Youth
0
1
L
H2H away: Mwatate United
25.04.26
H2H
MOFA
Mwatate United
0
0
D
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Migori Youth
|
30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 2 |
Mombasa Elite
|
30 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 46:26 | 20 | 64 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 3 |
Equity Bank
|
30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 4 |
3K
|
29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 46:19 | 27 | 56 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
MOFA
Home
|
30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 6 |
Fortune Sacco
|
29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
| 7 |
Kibera Black Stars
|
30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 27:24 | 3 | 49 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 8 |
Naivas
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33:27 | 6 | 44 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 9 |
Soy United
|
30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 26:22 | 4 | 42 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 10 |
Nzoia Sugar
|
30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 11 |
Talanta
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 29:28 | 1 | 41 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 12 |
Nairobi City Stars
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 13 |
Gucha Stars
|
30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 27:33 | -6 | 33 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
| 14 |
Luanda Villa
|
30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 21:39 | -18 | 32 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
| 15 |
Kisumu All Stars
|
30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 19:39 | -20 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 16 |
Darajani Gogo
|
30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:36 | -17 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
| 17 |
Kabati Youth FC
|
30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 19:42 | -23 | 27 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
Mwatate United
Away
|
30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 26:50 | -24 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 19 |
MCF
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 17:33 | -16 | 23 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
| 20 |
Vihiga United FC
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23:47 | -24 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
W
|