Cercle Brugge
BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
FT
2 - 1
Jan Breydel Stadion
Referee: M. Allaerts
Dender
Cercle Brugge
Match Timeline
Dender
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
Dender
29'
O. Diakite · Assist: E. Diop
Cercle Brugge
🔄
46'
H. van der Bruggen ↔ P. Gerkens
Cercle Brugge
🔄
46'
B. De Kerf ↔ L. De Fougerolles
Dender
🟨
54'
Luc Marijnissen
Dender
🔄
62'
S. Ngoura ↔ D. Vanzeir
Cercle Brugge
🔄
62'
D. Toshevski ↔ B. Nsimba
Dender
🔄
62'
D. Acquah ↔ M. Berte
Dender
69'
O. Diakite · Assist: I. Diakite
Cercle Brugge
🔄
72'
A. Jahanbakhsh ↔ N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
Dender
🔄
73'
O. Diakite ↔ O. Adewumi
Cercle Brugge
🔄
73'
I. Diaby ↔ L. Agyekum
Cercle Brugge
🔄
73'
R. Oratmangoen ↔ K. Koton
Dender
🔄
81'
I. Diakite ↔ H. Jurado
Cercle Brugge
84'
M. Viltard
Dender
Main Prediction

Home or Draw

Confidence 79%
1X2
1X2 79%
Home or Draw
Odds 1.14
0 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS 72.9%
BTTS Yes
Odds 1.62
0 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5 67.8%
Over 2.5
Odds 1.44
0 agree / 0 disagree

Probability Model

Home 47.5%
X 31.5%
Away 21%
1X 79%
X2 52.5%
12 68.5%

Tactical Setup

Cercle Brugge formation 3-5-2
Dender formation 4-2-3-1
Cercle Brugge missing 0
Dender missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Cercle Brugge scorers E. Diop (7 goals), S. Ngoura (7 goals), P. Gerkens (6 goals)
Cercle Brugge creators Gary Magnee (7 assists), Flávio Nazinho (7 assists), S. Ngoura (4 assists)
Dender scorers Bruny Nsimba (8 goals), Aurélien Scheidler (7 goals), R. Kvet (5 goals)
Dender creators Bruny Nsimba (4 assists), M. Sambu (4 assists), F. Ferraro (3 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Cercle Brugge and Dender have faced each other 8 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (79%)
Predicted formations: Cercle Brugge 3-5-2 / Dender 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cercle Brugge wins 4, draws 4, Dender wins 0
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge
Season Statistics All competitions · current season
Dender Dender
Played games 33
Played games 33
Attacking Pressure
58 56% / 44% 45.8
4.85 Shots on Goal 3.82
14.42 Total Shots 10.82
3.64 Blocked Shots 2.76
47.3% Possession 47.8%
5 Corners 3.67
10.61 Fouls 11.18
1.97 Yellow Cards 2.15
0.12 Red Cards 0.12
364 Total Passes 391
274 Accurate Passes 298
2.88 Offsides 1.85
3.42 GK Saves 3.27
Based on completed matches from the current season across all competitions available.

Match Analysis

Cercle Brugge approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 31 points from 30 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 39:47, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Diop (7 goals), S. Ngoura (7 goals), P. Gerkens (6 goals), with creative support from Gary Magnee (7 assists), Flávio Nazinho (7 assists), S. Ngoura (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Dender sit 16 with 19 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 10 draws, and 17 defeats with a 24:51 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Bruny Nsimba (8 goals), Aurélien Scheidler (7 goals), R. Kvet (5 goals), with creative support from Bruny Nsimba (4 assists), M. Sambu (4 assists), F. Ferraro (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dender. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cercle Brugge expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Dender in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dender having the stronger overall control. Dender arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 4.20
Home 1.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.62
Home 1.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 3.00
Home 1.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Stats
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge
Dender Dender
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 6
9 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 6
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 9
3 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
445 Total passes 396
358 Passes accurate 300
0.71 expected_goals 0.56
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥
Last matches: Cercle Brugge
19.04.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Dender
4
1
W
11.04.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
3
0
W
04.04.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Zulte Waregem
2
2
D
22.03.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Anderlecht
3
2
W
15.03.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
1
3
L
08.03.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
St. Truiden
1
2
L
01.03.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Dender
0
0
D
20.02.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Gent
1
0
W
15.02.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
07.02.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Charleroi
4
3
W
31.01.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
0
4
L
25.01.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Genk
1
1
D
17.01.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
KVC Westerlo
2
0
W
26.12.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
21.12.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
2
0
W
13.12.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
2
3
L
06.12.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Standard Liege
1
2
L
29.11.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
22.11.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
L
08.11.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
1
2
L
Last matches: Dender
19.04.26
Jup
Dender
Cercle Brugge
1
4
L
12.04.26
Jup
Dender
Zulte Waregem
1
2
L
06.04.26
Jup
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
1
0
W
22.03.26
Jup
Dender
Gent
1
3
L
14.03.26
Jup
Dender
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
L
07.03.26
Jup
Dender
Charleroi
2
2
D
01.03.26
Jup
Dender
Cercle Brugge
0
0
D
21.02.26
Jup
Dender
St. Truiden
1
4
L
14.02.26
Jup
Dender
OH Leuven
2
3
L
07.02.26
Jup
Dender
Zulte Waregem
0
1
L
01.02.26
Jup
Dender
Genk
1
2
L
25.01.26
Jup
Dender
Anderlecht
0
0
D
18.01.26
Jup
Dender
Antwerp
1
0
W
27.12.25
Jup
Dender
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
20.12.25
Jup
Dender
Standard Liege
0
1
L
14.12.25
Jup
Dender
Club Brugge KV
1
5
L
05.12.25
Jup
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
29.11.25
Jup
Dender
KVC Westerlo
2
2
D
23.11.25
Jup
Dender
Antwerp
2
1
W
07.11.25
Jup
Dender
Zulte Waregem
2
2
D
H2H: Cercle Brugge vs Dender
24.04.26
H2H
Cercle Brugge
Dender
2
1
W
19.04.26
H2H
Dender
Cercle Brugge
1
4
W
01.03.26
H2H
Cercle Brugge
Dender
0
0
D
26.07.25
H2H
Dender
Cercle Brugge
0
0
D
18.01.25
H2H
Dender
Cercle Brugge
0
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Cercle Brugge
Dender
0
0
D
14.07.23
H2H
Cercle Brugge
Dender
0
0
D
16.07.22
H2H
Dender
Cercle Brugge
0
5
W
Last matches: Cercle Brugge
11.04.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
3
0
W
15.03.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
1
3
L
01.03.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Dender
0
0
D
15.02.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
31.01.26
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
0
4
L
26.12.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
13.12.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
2
3
L
06.12.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Standard Liege
1
2
L
08.11.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
1
2
L
26.10.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
19.10.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Genk
2
2
D
28.09.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Gent
2
4
L
14.09.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Charleroi
2
3
L
29.08.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
St. Truiden
1
1
D
17.08.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
KVC Westerlo
4
1
W
03.08.25
Jup
Cercle Brugge
Anderlecht
0
2
L
H2H at home: Cercle Brugge
24.04.26
H2H
Cercle Brugge
Dender
2
1
W
01.03.26
H2H
Cercle Brugge
Dender
0
0
D
19.10.24
H2H
Cercle Brugge
Dender
0
0
D
14.07.23
H2H
Cercle Brugge
Dender
0
0
D
Last matches: Dender
06.04.26
Jup
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
1
0
W
14.03.26
Jup
Dender
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
L
01.03.26
Jup
Dender
Cercle Brugge
0
0
D
14.02.26
Jup
Dender
OH Leuven
2
3
L
07.02.26
Jup
Dender
Zulte Waregem
0
1
L
25.01.26
Jup
Dender
Anderlecht
0
0
D
27.12.25
Jup
Dender
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
05.12.25
Jup
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
23.11.25
Jup
Dender
Antwerp
2
1
W
01.11.25
Jup
Dender
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
25.10.25
Jup
Dender
KVC Westerlo
1
1
D
05.10.25
Jup
Dender
Genk
1
2
L
19.09.25
Jup
Dender
Gent
0
3
L
30.08.25
Jup
Dender
Charleroi
1
3
L
08.08.25
Jup
Dender
St. Truiden
0
2
L
02.08.25
Jup
Dender
Standard Liege
1
1
D
H2H away: Dender
24.04.26
H2H
Cercle Brugge
Dender
2
1
L
01.03.26
H2H
Cercle Brugge
Dender
0
0
D
19.10.24
H2H
Cercle Brugge
Dender
0
0
D
14.07.23
H2H
Cercle Brugge
Dender
0
0
D

Lineups

Cercle Brugge
Formation
Dender
6.9
Warleson
1
Warleson
7.2
E. Kakou
5
E. Kakou
7.5
G. Kondo
24
G. Kondo
7.2
K. Valy
12
K. Valy
7.2
I. Diakite
2
🎯
I. Diakite
6.9
I. Diaby
19
I. Diaby
6.7
H. van der Bruggen
28
H. van der Bruggen
8.0
E. Diop
37
🎯
E. Diop
6.9
Nazinho
20
Nazinho
8.3
O. Diakite
10
⚽ 2
O. Diakite
6.9
S. Ngoura
9
S. Ngoura
6.3
G. Dietsch
30
G. Dietsch
6.0
M. Sambu
70
M. Sambu
6.3
L. Marijnissen
5
L. Marijnissen
B. De Kerf
6
B. De Kerf
6.3
B. Goncalves
7
B. Goncalves
6.3
N. Rodes
18
N. Rodes
8.5
M. Viltard
24
M. Viltard
6.3
A. Jahanbakhsh
27
A. Jahanbakhsh
6.3
D. Acquah
23
D. Acquah
6.2
R. Oratmangoen
11
R. Oratmangoen
6.3
D. Toshevski
9
D. Toshevski
Cercle Brugge 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
Warleson
G
5
E. Kakou
D
24
G. Kondo
D
12
K. Valy
D
2
I. Diakite
🎯 69' ↓ 81'
M
19
I. Diaby
↓ 73'
M
28
H. van der Bruggen
↓ 46'
M
37
E. Diop
🎯 29'
M
20
Nazinho
M
10
O. Diakite
⚽ 29' ⚽ 69' ↓ 73'
F
9
S. Ngoura
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
21
M. Delanghe
G
18
P. Gerkens
↑ 46'
M
27
N. De Wilde
D
23
H. Jurado
↑ 81'
M
17
O. Adewumi
↑ 73'
F
75
S. Gheerardyns
D
33
R. Caicedo
D
13
D. Vanzeir
↑ 62'
F
6
L. Agyekum
↑ 73'
M
Dender 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
G. Dietsch
G
70
M. Sambu
D
5
L. Marijnissen
🟨 54'
D
6
B. De Kerf
↓ 46'
7
B. Goncalves
D
18
N. Rodes
M
24
M. Viltard
⚽ 84'
M
27
A. Jahanbakhsh
↓ 72' 🟨 18'
M
23
D. Acquah
↓ 62'
M
11
R. Oratmangoen
↓ 73'
M
9
D. Toshevski
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Fortin
G
44
L. De Fougerolles
↑ 46'
D
67
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
↑ 72'
D
19
J. A. Kadiri
F
77
B. Nsimba
↑ 62'
F
90
M. Berte
↑ 62'
F
15
K. Koton
↑ 73'
M
46
E. Lembi
D
60
O. Balde
M

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Union St. Gilloise
30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D W W W
1
Genk
35 13 12 10 52:51 1 30
D D W D W
2
Club Brugge KV
30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W W L W W
2
KVC Westerlo
35 13 9 13 45:47 -2 29
L W L W W
3
St. Truiden
30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W W D L L
3
Antwerp
35 12 8 15 41:39 2 27
W W W L L
4
Gent
30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
L D D L D
4
Standard Liege
35 13 8 14 35:42 -7 27
D L W L W
5
KV Mechelen
30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L L L L D
5
Charleroi
35 11 8 16 44:48 -4 24
W D L W L
6
Anderlecht
30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L L W W L
6
OH Leuven
35 9 8 18 33:52 -19 18
L L L D L
13
Zulte Waregem
30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W D W
14
Cercle Brugge Home
30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
W W W D W
15
RAAL La Louvière
30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
L L L L D
16
Dender Away
30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
L L L W L