Nacional Asuncion
PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
FT
2 - 1
Estadio Arsenio Erico
Referee: A. Gimenez
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Match Timeline
Deportivo Recoleta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Sebastian Vargas
Nacional Asuncion
VAR
8'
Juan Falcon
Deportivo Recoleta
9'
A. Wlk
Deportivo Recoleta
VAR
21'
Junior Noguera
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
25'
Roberto Ramírez
Nacional Asuncion
🟨
28'
Juan Franco
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
43'
Juan Franco
Deportivo Recoleta
🟥
43'
Juan Franco
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
46'
M. Cabrera ↔ O. Gaona Lugo
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
46'
J. Santacruz ↔ D. J. Colman Escobar
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
46'
J. Falcon ↔ W. Baez
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
46'
A. Wlk ↔ R. Dominguez
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
50'
R. Ortiz ↔ B. Ferreira
Deportivo Recoleta
50'
C. R. Santa · Assist: F. Jara
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
64'
J. Noguera ↔ D. Mosquera
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
68'
R. C. Ramirez Antunez ↔ C. Arrua
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
76'
H. A. Benitez ↔ L. Gonzales
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
77'
C. R. Santa ↔ I. Bailone
Nacional Asuncion
85'
I. Bailone
Nacional Asuncion
🟨
89'
Facundo Echeguren
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
90+3'
Carlos Arrua
Nacional Asuncion
🟨
90+3'
Nicolás Marotta
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
90'
P. Rios ↔ T. Vidal
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
90'
J. Espinola ↔ H. Lopez
Deportivo Recoleta
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 100%
1X2
1X2 100%
Home Win
Odds 1.70
0 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS 77.8%
BTTS Yes
Odds 1.91
0 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5 54.7%
Over 2.5
Odds 2.00
0 agree / 0 disagree

Probability Model

Home 72.3%
X 27.7%
Away 0%
1X 100%
X2 27.7%
12 72.3%

Tactical Setup

Nacional Asuncion formation 3-4-3
Deportivo Recoleta formation 4-4-2
Nacional Asuncion missing 0
Deportivo Recoleta missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Nacional Asuncion scorers I. Valdez (4 goals), A. Samudio (2 goals), D. J. Colman Escobar (2 goals)
Nacional Asuncion creators A. D. Canete Torres (3 assists), I. Valdez (2 assists), O. Gaona Lugo (2 assists)
Deportivo Recoleta scorers A. Wlk (7 goals), A. Gonzalez (6 goals), Richard Ortiz (3 goals)
Deportivo Recoleta creators W. Baez (7 assists), K. Parzajuk (3 assists), P. Rios (2 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Nacional Asuncion and Deportivo Recoleta have faced each other 7 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Nacional Asuncion 3-4-3 / Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2
H2H summary: Nacional Asuncion wins 2, draws 4, Deportivo Recoleta wins 1
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
Season Statistics All competitions · current season
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
Played games 17
Played games 17
Attacking Pressure
45.9 50% / 50% 46.5
3.59 Shots on Goal 3.82
10.88 Total Shots 10.76
2.82 Blocked Shots 2.29
48.9% Possession 53.2%
4 Corners 3.71
11.82 Fouls 12.94
2.41 Yellow Cards 1.88
0.18 Red Cards 0.06
358 Total Passes 396
280 Accurate Passes 318
1 Offsides 1.41
2.47 GK Saves 3.53
Based on completed matches from the current season across all competitions available.

Match Analysis

Nacional Asuncion arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 26 points after 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, while the -:- goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Valdez (4 goals), A. Samudio (2 goals), D. J. Colman Escobar (2 goals), with creative support from A. D. Canete Torres (3 assists), I. Valdez (2 assists), O. Gaona Lugo (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a balanced approach.
Deportivo Recoleta sit 7 with 22 points after 17 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the -:- goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Wlk (7 goals), A. Gonzalez (6 goals), Richard Ortiz (3 goals), with creative support from W. Baez (7 assists), K. Parzajuk (3 assists), P. Rios (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a balanced approach.
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Recoleta. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nacional Asuncion expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Deportivo Recoleta in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Recoleta having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 3.40
Home 1.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.20
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.40
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Stats
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
14 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 1
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 4
8 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
517 Total passes 287
444 Passes accurate 209
1.43 expected_goals 1.11
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥
Last matches: Nacional Asuncion
20.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
11.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
04.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
0
3
L
31.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
27.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
22.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
0
D
18.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
L
15.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
1
0
W
09.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
01.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
1
1
D
26.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
2
D
19.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
15.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2
0
W
08.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
1
2
L
31.01.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
5
1
W
27.01.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
24.01.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
0
W
Last matches: Deportivo Recoleta
18.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
5
0
W
11.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
04.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
W
30.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
26.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
0
W
23.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
2
3
L
18.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
1
3
L
14.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
0
1
L
09.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
01.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
26.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
2
2
D
20.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
1
0
W
13.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
06.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
W
02.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
W
29.01.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
1
D
23.01.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
H2H: Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta
24.04.26
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
05.03.26
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
26.02.26
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
2
2
D
27.11.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
06.09.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
21.04.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
08.02.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
1
0
L
Last matches: Nacional Asuncion
11.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
27.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
15.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
1
0
W
01.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
1
1
D
19.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
08.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
1
2
L
31.01.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
5
1
W
24.01.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
0
W
H2H at home: Nacional Asuncion
24.04.26
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
05.03.26
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
06.09.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
21.04.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportivo Recoleta
11.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
30.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
23.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
2
3
L
18.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
1
3
L
01.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
20.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
1
0
W
06.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
W
29.01.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
1
D
H2H away: Deportivo Recoleta
24.04.26
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
L
05.03.26
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
06.09.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
L
21.04.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D

Lineups

Nacional Asuncion
Formation
Deportivo Recoleta
6.9
S. Rojas
30
S. Rojas
7.2
J. Feliu
21
J. Feliu
7.9
A. D. Canete Torres
3
A. D. Canete Torres
7.3
T. Gutierrez
4
T. Gutierrez
S. Vargas
29
S. Vargas
7.3
F. Jara
8
🎯
F. Jara
6.9
R. C. Ramirez Antunez
25
R. C. Ramirez Antunez
H. A. Benitez
9
H. A. Benitez
6.7
J. Santacruz
17
J. Santacruz
6.5
M. Cabrera
31
M. Cabrera
7.3
C. R. Santa
24
C. R. Santa
7.3
N. Ferreira
12
N. Ferreira
6.0
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
2
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
6.9
N. Marotta
5
N. Marotta
6.9
L. Monzon
32
L. Monzon
6.9
P. Rios
18
P. Rios
6.6
J. Falcon
37
J. Falcon
6.7
J. Espinola
6
J. Espinola
5.9
A. Franco
38
A. Franco
6.7
J. Noguera
10
J. Noguera
6.6
R. Ortiz
9
R. Ortiz
6.5
A. Wlk
29
A. Wlk
Nacional Asuncion 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
S. Rojas
G
21
J. Feliu
D
3
A. D. Canete Torres
D
4
T. Gutierrez
D
29
S. Vargas
8
F. Jara
🎯 50'
M
25
R. C. Ramirez Antunez
↓ 68' 🟨 25'
M
9
H. A. Benitez
↓ 76'
17
J. Santacruz
↓ 46'
M
31
M. Cabrera
↓ 46'
M
24
C. R. Santa
⚽ 50' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
1
G. Ortiz
G
33
O. Gaona Lugo
↑ 46'
M
7
I. Bailone
⚽ 85' ↑ 77'
F
27
R. Prieto
F
10
C. Arrua
↑ 68' 🟨 90+3'
M
23
C. Espinola
D
15
L. Caceres
D
6
S. Torales
M
22
D. J. Colman Escobar
↑ 46'
M
5
G. Benitez
D
19
L. Gonzales
↑ 76'
26
M. Coronel
D
Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
N. Ferreira
G
2
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
🟨 89'
D
5
N. Marotta
🟨 90+3'
D
32
L. Monzon
D
18
P. Rios
↓ 90'
D
37
J. Falcon
↓ 46'
M
6
J. Espinola
↓ 90'
M
38
A. Franco
🟨 28' 🟨 43' 🟥 43'
M
10
J. Noguera
↓ 64'
M
9
R. Ortiz
↓ 50'
F
29
A. Wlk
⚽ 9' ↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
13
O. Toledo
G
3
L. Cardozo
D
17
W. Baez
↑ 46'
F
27
J. C. Dominguez Castillo
4
M. Pereira
D
31
M. Schupp
M
25
D. Mosquera
↑ 64'
D
7
R. Dominguez
↑ 46'
M
24
T. Vidal
↑ 90'
F
19
H. Lopez
↑ 90'
M
15
B. Medina
D
36
B. Ferreira
↑ 50'

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Olimpia
17 12 3 2 28:12 16 39
L W W L
2
Cerro Porteno
17 10 4 3 26:14 12 34
D D W W
3
Sportivo Ameliano
18 7 8 3 22:15 7 29
D D W D W
4
Nacional Asuncion Home
18 7 8 3 25:19 6 29
W D D L D
5
Sportivo Trinidense
18 6 8 4 23:18 5 26
L W D W W
6
Club Guarani
18 6 7 5 25:20 5 25
D W L W W
7
Libertad Asuncion
18 7 3 8 25:22 3 24
W L D L W
8
Deportivo Recoleta Away
18 6 4 8 27:24 3 22
L W L W L
9
Rubio NU
18 6 3 9 14:21 -7 21
W W L L L
10
Sportivo Luqueno
18 5 3 10 21:28 -7 18
W L W D L
11
2 de Mayo
18 3 6 9 14:33 -19 15
D L L L D
12
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
18 1 5 12 12:36 -24 8
L L W L L