Cascavel
Serie D
NS
--.--.---- --:--
Guarany de Bagé
League: Serie D
Main Prediction
Away Win
Confidence 38%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability Model
Home
34%
X
28%
Away
38%
Tactical Setup
Cascavel formation
-
Guarany de Bagé formation
-
Cascavel missing
0
Guarany de Bagé missing
0
Key Squad Notes
Cascavel scorers
G. S. do Espirito Santo (1 goals)
Guarany de Bagé scorers
Pedro Rodrigues (1 goals)
Quick Insight
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (38%)
Match Analysis
Placed 2 with 4 points from 2 outings, Cascavel continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 1:0 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. S. do Espirito Santo (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Guarany de Bagé come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 1 points from 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, while the 1:3 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Pedro Rodrigues (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cascavel's more proactive style and Guarany de Bagé's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Guarany de Bagé. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guarany de Bagé having the stronger overall control. Cascavel arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 4 points compared to Guarany de Bagé in 5 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Last matches: Cascavel
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Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
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Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
09.08.25
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Cascavel
Barra
0
3
L
02.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
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0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
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2
1
W
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Last matches: Guarany de Bagé
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Guarany de Bagé
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Guarany de Bagé
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1
3
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Guarany de Bagé
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2
1
W
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Last matches: Cascavel
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26.07.25
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Last matches: Guarany de Bagé
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Ser
Guarany de Bagé
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