Kilmarnock
SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
NS
--.--.---- --:--
Rugby Park
Referee: -
Dundee Utd
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 100%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 58.6%
X 0%
Away 41.4%
1X 58.6%
X2 41.4%
12 100%

Tactical Setup

Kilmarnock formation 4-4-2
Dundee Utd formation 3-4-2-1
Kilmarnock missing 0
Dundee Utd missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Kilmarnock scorers Tyreece John-Jules (8 goals), Bruce Anderson (4 goals), G. Kiltie (4 goals)
Kilmarnock creators G. Kiltie (4 assists), Tyreece John-Jules (2 assists), Bruce Anderson (2 assists)
Dundee Utd scorers A. Fatah (8 goals), Zachary Sapsford (8 goals), I. Dolcek (5 goals)
Dundee Utd creators W. Ferry (6 assists), L. Stephenson (5 assists), A. Fatah (3 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Kilmarnock and Dundee Utd have faced each other 15 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 4-4-2 / Dundee Utd 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 8, draws 5, Dundee Utd wins 2

Match Analysis

Placed 5 with 28 points from 34 outings, Kilmarnock continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 10 draws, and 18 losses, while the 37:66 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Tyreece John-Jules (8 goals), Bruce Anderson (4 goals), G. Kiltie (4 goals), with creative support from G. Kiltie (4 assists), Tyreece John-Jules (2 assists), Bruce Anderson (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 1 place with 43 points from 34 games, Dundee Utd bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 48:54, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Fatah (8 goals), Zachary Sapsford (8 goals), I. Dolcek (5 goals), with creative support from W. Ferry (6 assists), L. Stephenson (5 assists), A. Fatah (3 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dundee Utd. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kilmarnock expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Dundee Utd in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundee Utd having the stronger overall control.
Last matches: Kilmarnock
25.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
04.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
4
L
10.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
3
L
30.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
1
2
L
27.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0
0
D
20.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
0
1
L
14.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
1
2
L
06.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
0
3
L
03.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
Last matches: Dundee Utd
26.04.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Dundee
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Livingston
3
2
W
04.04.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Rangers
2
4
L
22.03.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Celtic
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
2
D
03.03.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
0
2
L
24.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Falkirk
3
2
W
04.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
10.01.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Celtic
0
4
L
03.01.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Dundee
0
1
L
30.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Livingston
3
1
W
27.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
1
1
D
17.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Celtic
2
1
W
13.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
0
0
D
06.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
0
2
L
H2H: Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd
21.02.26
H2H
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
29.11.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
27.09.25
H2H
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
0
2
W
17.08.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
2
1
W
01.02.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
0
W
07.12.24
H2H
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
3
D
24.05.23
H2H
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
0
3
W
11.02.23
H2H
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
0
1
W
01.02.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
0
W
09.11.22
H2H
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
4
0
L
18.10.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
2
1
W
30.07.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
22.01.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
2
L
21.04.21
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
Last matches: Kilmarnock
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
3
L
20.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
0
1
L
06.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
0
3
L
29.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
L
29.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
14.09.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
0
0
D
02.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
2
D
H2H at home: Kilmarnock
29.11.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
17.08.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
2
1
W
01.02.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
0
W
28.09.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
3
D
01.02.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
0
W
18.10.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
2
1
W
30.07.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
22.01.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
2
L
21.04.21
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
Last matches: Dundee Utd
04.04.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Rangers
2
4
L
15.03.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Falkirk
3
2
W
04.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
2
3
L
10.01.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Celtic
0
4
L
30.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Livingston
3
1
W
27.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
1
1
D
06.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
0
2
L
29.11.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
29.10.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
0
2
L
18.10.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Rangers
2
2
D
13.09.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
3
3
D
31.08.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Dundee Utd
Rapid Vienna
2
2
D
03.08.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Falkirk
2
2
D
31.07.25
UEF
Dundee Utd
UNA Strassen
1
0
W
H2H away: Dundee Utd
29.11.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
17.08.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
2
1
L
01.02.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
0
L
28.09.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
3
D
01.02.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
0
L
18.10.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
2
1
L
30.07.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
22.01.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
2
W
21.04.21
H2H
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Heart Of Midlothian
34 22 7 5 60:29 31 73
W W D W L
1
Dundee Utd Away
34 10 13 11 48:54 -6 43
W W L W D
2
Celtic
34 22 4 8 62:36 26 70
W W W L W
2
Aberdeen
34 10 6 18 34:48 -14 36
W W L L D
3
Rangers
34 19 12 3 68:34 34 69
L W W W W
3
Dundee
34 8 9 17 34:56 -22 33
L D L L D
4
Motherwell
34 15 12 7 55:31 24 57
W L L D L
4
ST Mirren
34 7 9 18 27:50 -23 30
L L W W L
5
Hibernian
34 13 12 9 52:39 13 51
L L W D D
5
Kilmarnock Home
34 6 10 18 37:66 -29 28
L D L W W
6
Falkirk
34 13 7 14 46:51 -5 46
L L W L D
6
Livingston
34 2 13 19 37:66 -29 19
W L D L D