NK Varazdin and HNK Rijeka have faced each other 5 times recently.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (79.5%)

Predicted formations: NK Varazdin 4-1-4-1 / HNK Rijeka 4-1-3-2

H2H summary: NK Varazdin wins 3, draws 0, HNK Rijeka wins 2

NK Varazdin approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 44 points after 30 outings. With 12 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats plus a goal balance of -:-, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by I. Mamut (9 goals), A. Latkovic (7 goals), I. Tavares (6 goals), with creative support from A. Latkovic (6 assists), F. Maglica (5 assists), I. Mamut (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward a balanced approach.

With 41 points from 29 games and a place of 4, HNK Rijeka still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at -:-, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Fruk (11 goals), Tiago Dantas (5 goals), Ante Matej Jurić (4 goals), with creative support from Tiago Dantas (6 assists), A. Orec (4 assists), T. Fruk (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. HNK Rijeka arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with NK Varazdin expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and HNK Rijeka in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HNK Rijeka having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors HNK Rijeka. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.