Hull City
Championship
NS
--.--.---- --:--
MKM Stadium
Referee: S. Martin
Birmingham
League: Championship
Venue: MKM Stadium
Referee: S. Martin
Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 38%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5

Probability Model

Home 34%
X 28%
Away 38%

Tactical Setup

Hull City formation 4-2-3-1
Birmingham formation 4-2-3-1
Hull City missing 6
Birmingham missing 2

Key Squad Notes

Hull City scorers Oliver McBurnie (14 goals), J. Gelhardt (13 goals), K. Joseph (8 goals)
Hull City creators R. Giles (8 assists), Oliver McBurnie (7 assists), K. Joseph (5 assists)
Birmingham scorers M. Ducksch (10 goals), J. Stansfield (9 goals), D. Gray (5 goals)
Birmingham creators J. Stansfield (6 assists), D. Gray (4 assists), P. Roberts (4 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Hull City and Birmingham have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (38%)
Predicted formations: Hull City 4-2-3-1 / Birmingham 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Hull City 6, Birmingham 2
H2H summary: Hull City wins 2, draws 2, Birmingham wins 1

Match Analysis

Hull City are currently 6 in the standings with 68 points from 42 matches. The record of 20 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 64:60 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Oliver McBurnie (14 goals), J. Gelhardt (13 goals), K. Joseph (8 goals), with creative support from R. Giles (8 assists), Oliver McBurnie (7 assists), K. Joseph (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
With 56 points from 42 games and a place of 15, Birmingham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 15 wins, 11 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 51:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Ducksch (10 goals), J. Stansfield (9 goals), D. Gray (5 goals), with creative support from J. Stansfield (6 assists), D. Gray (4 assists), P. Roberts (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Hull City's more proactive style and Birmingham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Birmingham. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Birmingham arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Hull City arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 68 points compared to Birmingham in 15 on 56, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Last matches: Hull City
11.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Coventry
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Oxford United
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Hull City
West Brom
0
3
L
Show more matches
Last matches: Birmingham
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
Show more matches
Last matches: Hull City
06.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Coventry
0
0
D
21.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
1
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Derby
4
2
W
21.02.26
Cha
Hull City
QPR
1
3
L
Show more matches
Last matches: Birmingham
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
Show more matches

Missing Players

Hull City 6 missing
-
A. Famewo
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
R. Giles
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Y. Hirakawa
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Matazo
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
R. Slater
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
J. Lundstram
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
Birmingham 2 missing
-
L. Buchanan
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Cochrane
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT

Head to Head

Hull City vs Birmingham 5 matches
18.10.2025
Birmingham 2 - 3 Hull City
Championship
FT
05.03.2024
Hull City 1 - 1 Birmingham
Championship
FT
16.01.2024
Birmingham 2 - 1 Hull City
FA Cup
FT
06.01.2024
Hull City 1 - 1 Birmingham
FA Cup
FT
25.10.2023
Birmingham 0 - 2 Hull City
Championship
FT