Truro City
National League
NS
--.--.---- --:--
Carlisle
League: National League
Venue: Truro Sports Hub
Main Prediction
Away Win
Confidence 38%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability Model
Home
34%
X
28%
Away
38%
Tactical Setup
Truro City formation
-
Carlisle formation
-
Truro City missing
0
Carlisle missing
0
Key Squad Notes
Truro City scorers
L. Jephcott (7 goals), T. Harvey (5 goals), D. Johnson-Fisher (4 goals)
Truro City creators
C. Riley-Lowe (6 assists), L. Jephcott (5 assists), C. Oxlade-Chamberlain (3 assists)
Carlisle scorers
R. Linney (18 goals), G. Kelly (12 goals), L. Armstrong (10 goals)
Carlisle creators
R. Linney (10 assists), C. Conn-Clarke (7 assists), J. Ellis (7 assists)
Head-to-Head Snapshot
Truro City and Carlisle have faced each other 1 times recently.
Quick Insight
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (38%)
H2H summary: Truro City wins 0, draws 0, Carlisle wins 1
Match Analysis
Truro City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 24 with 31 points from 44 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 27 losses, together with goals at 40:71, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Jephcott (7 goals), T. Harvey (5 goals), D. Johnson-Fisher (4 goals), with creative support from C. Riley-Lowe (6 assists), L. Jephcott (5 assists), C. Oxlade-Chamberlain (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 3 place with 89 points from 44 games, Carlisle bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 27 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 83:51, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Linney (18 goals), G. Kelly (12 goals), L. Armstrong (10 goals), with creative support from R. Linney (10 assists), C. Conn-Clarke (7 assists), J. Ellis (7 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 13 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Carlisle's more proactive style and Truro City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Carlisle having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Carlisle carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 89 points while Truro City sit 24 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Carlisle.
Last matches: Truro City
11.04.26
Nat
Truro City
Boston United
0
1
L
06.04.26
Nat
Truro City
Forest Green
1
1
D
03.04.26
Nat
Truro City
Yeovil Town
0
1
L
28.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Boreham Wood
0
0
D
25.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Solihull Moors
1
1
D
Show more matches ⌄
Last matches: Carlisle
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
Show more matches ⌄
Last matches: Truro City
06.04.26
Nat
Truro City
Forest Green
1
1
D
28.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Boreham Wood
0
0
D
25.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Solihull Moors
1
1
D
17.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Scunthorpe
1
2
L
14.03.26
Nat
Truro City
Hartlepool
0
1
L
Show more matches ⌄
Last matches: Carlisle
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
Show more matches ⌄
Head to Head
Truro City vs Carlisle
1 matches
06.09.2025
Carlisle 3 - 0 Truro City
FT
National League