Hatayspor
TURKEY 1. LIG
NS
--.--.---- --:--
Mersin Stadyumu
Referee: -
Vanspor FK
Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 100%
1X2
1X2 100%
Away Win
Odds 1.31
0 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS 78.5%
BTTS Yes
Odds 1.67
0 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5 89.9%
Over 2.5
Odds 1.45
0 agree / 0 disagree
Cards O/U 74.7%
Under 6.5 Cards
Odds -
0 agree / 0 disagree
Corners O/U 75.6%
Over 7.5 Corners
Odds -
0 agree / 0 disagree
HT / FT Model
Away / Away
Odds 1.87
0 agree / 0 disagree
Correct Score Model
0-2
Odds 5.40
0 agree / 0 disagree

Probability Model

Home 20%
X 0%
Away 80%
1X 20%
X2 80%
12 100%

Tactical Setup

Hatayspor formation 4-1-3-2
Vanspor FK formation 4-2-3-1
Hatayspor missing 0
Vanspor FK missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Hatayspor scorers F. Bamgboye (3 goals), G. Saglam (3 goals), J. Okoronkwo (3 goals)
Hatayspor creators Kerim Alıcı (3 assists), F. Bamgboye (2 assists), J. Okoronkwo (2 assists)
Vanspor FK scorers Bikoue (15 goals), Jefferson (5 goals), Xesc (5 goals)
Vanspor FK creators Bikoue (6 assists), Erdem Seçgin (5 assists), Jefferson (4 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Hatayspor and Vanspor FK have faced each other 1 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Hatayspor 4-1-3-2 / Vanspor FK 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hatayspor wins 0, draws 0, Vanspor FK wins 1

Match Analysis

Hatayspor sit 19 with 11 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 8 draws, and 28 defeats, and the 30:101 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Bamgboye (3 goals), G. Saglam (3 goals), J. Okoronkwo (3 goals), with creative support from Kerim Alıcı (3 assists), F. Bamgboye (2 assists), J. Okoronkwo (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Vanspor FK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 49 points from 37 matches. The overall return of 13 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats with a 51:44 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Bikoue (15 goals), Jefferson (5 goals), Xesc (5 goals), with creative support from Bikoue (6 assists), Erdem Seçgin (5 assists), Jefferson (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Vanspor FK's more proactive style and Hatayspor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hatayspor expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Vanspor FK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vanspor FK having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vanspor FK. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Vanspor FK carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 49 points while Hatayspor sit 19 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 8.10
Draw 5.00
Away 1.31
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 7.00
Draw 4.60
Away 1.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 6.10
Draw 2.65
Away 1.76
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 5.60
Draw 3.10
Away 1.64
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.12
Under 1.5 4.75
Over 2.5 1.45
Under 2.5 2.43
Over 3.5 2.14
Under 3.5 1.58
Over 4.5 3.55
Under 4.5 1.23
Over 5.5 6.00
Under 5.5 1.08
Last matches: Hatayspor
25.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Serik Spor
2
4
L
18.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Sakaryaspor
1
1
D
11.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Sarıyer
0
4
L
07.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Adana Demirspor
4
0
W
03.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Pendikspor
1
4
L
22.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Amed
0
3
L
15.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Erzurumspor FK
0
3
L
11.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Sivasspor
1
2
L
07.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Çorum FK
1
3
L
28.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Bodrum FK
1
3
L
22.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Bandırmaspor
0
4
L
17.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Iğdır FK
0
2
L
13.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Boluspor
1
3
L
07.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Esenler Erokspor
0
5
L
30.01.26
1.
Hatayspor
İstanbulspor
0
1
L
25.01.26
1.
Hatayspor
Ümraniyespor
0
2
L
17.01.26
1.
Hatayspor
Manisa F.K.
2
2
D
11.01.26
1.
Hatayspor
Keçiörengücü
0
5
L
27.12.25
1.
Hatayspor
Vanspor FK
0
4
L
21.12.25
1.
Hatayspor
Serik Spor
1
1
D
Last matches: Vanspor FK
25.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
İstanbulspor
1
3
L
19.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
2
1
W
12.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Manisa F.K.
0
1
L
08.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Serik Spor
6
1
W
04.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Keçiörengücü
0
3
L
22.03.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Sarıyer
0
0
D
15.03.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Sakaryaspor
1
2
L
10.03.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Adana Demirspor
1
0
W
06.03.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Pendikspor
1
1
D
28.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
0
3
L
23.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Amed
0
1
L
19.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Bodrum FK
3
1
W
14.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Sivasspor
3
3
D
07.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Çorum FK
3
1
W
01.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Bandırmaspor
0
2
L
24.01.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Iğdır FK
3
0
W
17.01.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Esenler Erokspor
0
0
D
09.01.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Boluspor
0
1
L
27.12.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Hatayspor
4
0
W
21.12.25
1.
Vanspor FK
İstanbulspor
3
1
W
H2H: Hatayspor vs Vanspor FK
27.12.25
H2H
Vanspor FK
Hatayspor
4
0
L
Last matches: Hatayspor
18.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Sakaryaspor
1
1
D
07.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Adana Demirspor
4
0
W
22.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Amed
0
3
L
11.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Sivasspor
1
2
L
28.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Bodrum FK
1
3
L
17.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Iğdır FK
0
2
L
07.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Esenler Erokspor
0
5
L
25.01.26
1.
Hatayspor
Ümraniyespor
0
2
L
17.01.26
1.
Hatayspor
Manisa F.K.
2
2
D
21.12.25
1.
Hatayspor
Serik Spor
1
1
D
08.12.25
1.
Hatayspor
Sarıyer
0
3
L
22.11.25
1.
Hatayspor
Pendikspor
0
1
L
31.10.25
1.
Hatayspor
Erzurumspor FK
0
3
L
18.10.25
1.
Hatayspor
Çorum FK
1
4
L
28.09.25
1.
Hatayspor
Bandırmaspor
0
3
L
19.09.25
1.
Hatayspor
Boluspor
2
2
D
30.08.25
1.
Hatayspor
İstanbulspor
1
1
D
09.08.25
1.
Hatayspor
Keçiörengücü
1
3
L
Last matches: Vanspor FK
19.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
2
1
W
08.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Serik Spor
6
1
W
04.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Keçiörengücü
0
3
L
15.03.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Sakaryaspor
1
2
L
06.03.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Pendikspor
1
1
D
23.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Amed
0
1
L
14.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Sivasspor
3
3
D
01.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Bandırmaspor
0
2
L
17.01.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Esenler Erokspor
0
0
D
21.12.25
1.
Vanspor FK
İstanbulspor
3
1
W
07.12.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Manisa F.K.
1
2
L
07.11.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Sarıyer
1
2
L
25.10.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Adana Demirspor
4
2
W
04.10.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
1
1
D
24.09.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Bodrum FK
0
2
L
13.09.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Çorum FK
0
0
D
23.08.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Iğdır FK
0
0
D
10.08.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Boluspor
3
2
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Erzurumspor FK
37 23 11 3 81:26 55 80
D D W W W
2
Esenler Erokspor
37 21 10 6 80:34 46 73
L W W D W
3
Amed
37 21 10 6 78:39 39 73
D L D D W
4
Çorum FK
37 21 7 9 62:38 24 70
W W D D L
5
Bodrum FK
37 18 10 9 71:38 33 64
D D D D W
6
Pendikspor
37 16 14 7 57:32 25 62
W D D L W
7
Keçiörengücü
37 15 12 10 69:42 27 57
W L D W W
8
Bandırmaspor
37 15 12 10 46:34 12 57
D W D D W
9
Sivasspor
37 14 11 12 47:42 5 53
W L L W L
10
Manisa F.K.
37 15 7 15 52:56 -4 52
L W W W L
11
Vanspor FK Away
37 13 10 14 51:44 7 49
L W L W L
12
Sarıyer
37 14 7 16 43:44 -1 49
W L W D W
13
Iğdır FK
37 13 10 14 49:51 -2 49
L D W L L
14
İstanbulspor
37 12 13 12 49:54 -5 49
W W W L D
15
Ümraniyespor
37 13 7 17 46:47 -1 46
W L D W L
16
Boluspor
37 13 6 18 58:56 2 45
L W L L L
17
Serik Spor
37 11 6 20 43:72 -29 39
W L D L L
18
Sakaryaspor
37 8 10 19 45:67 -22 34
L D L L D
19
Hatayspor Home
37 1 8 28 30:101 -71 11
L D L W L
20
Adana Demirspor
37 1 3 33 21:161 -140 -57
L L L L W