Defensa Y Justicia
Liga Profesional Argentina
NS
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Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Referee: -
Boca Juniors
League: Liga Profesional Argentina
Venue: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 88.1%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 29.1%
X 11.9%
Away 59.1%
1X 41%
X2 70.9%
12 88.1%

Tactical Setup

Defensa Y Justicia formation 3-4-3
Boca Juniors formation 4-4-2
Defensa Y Justicia missing 0
Boca Juniors missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Defensa Y Justicia scorers Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (3 goals), A. Molinas (2 goals), A. Portillo (2 goals)
Defensa Y Justicia creators A. Molinas (4 assists), Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 assists), A. Portillo (1 assists)
Boca Juniors scorers Miguel Merentiel (4 goals), Adam Bareiro (2 goals), Santiago Ascacíbar (2 goals)
Boca Juniors creators L. Paredes (3 assists), Miguel Merentiel (2 assists), Adam Bareiro (1 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Defensa Y Justicia and Boca Juniors have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
Predicted formations: Defensa Y Justicia 3-4-3 / Boca Juniors 4-4-2
H2H summary: Defensa Y Justicia wins 2, draws 2, Boca Juniors wins 1

Match Analysis

With 115 points from 86 games and a place of 15, Defensa Y Justicia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with a 0:0 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (3 goals), A. Molinas (2 goals), A. Portillo (2 goals), with creative support from A. Molinas (4 assists), Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 assists), A. Portillo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Boca Juniors arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 150 points after 86 matches. The record of - wins, - draws, and - defeats, together with a 0:0 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Miguel Merentiel (4 goals), Adam Bareiro (2 goals), Santiago Ascacíbar (2 goals), with creative support from L. Paredes (3 assists), Miguel Merentiel (2 assists), Adam Bareiro (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Boca Juniors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Defensa Y Justicia expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Boca Juniors in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Boca Juniors having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Boca Juniors carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 150 points while Defensa Y Justicia sit 15 on 115, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Last matches: Defensa Y Justicia
18.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
1
3
L
13.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
01.04.26
Cop
Defensa Y Justicia
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
Show more matches
Last matches: Boca Juniors
15.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
3
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Independiente
1
1
D
08.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Instituto Cordoba
2
0
W
Show more matches
Last matches: Defensa Y Justicia
13.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
01.04.26
Cop
Defensa Y Justicia
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Lanus
1
1
D
Show more matches
Last matches: Boca Juniors
08.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
1
1
D
05.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Lanus
3
0
W
09.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
1
2
L
Show more matches

Head to Head

Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors 5 matches
27.09.2025
Defensa Y Justicia 2 - 1 Boca Juniors
Liga Profesional Argentina
FT
16.03.2025
Boca Juniors 4 - 0 Defensa Y Justicia
Liga Profesional Argentina
FT
21.07.2024
Defensa Y Justicia 2 - 2 Boca Juniors
Liga Profesional Argentina
FT
10.02.2024
Boca Juniors 0 - 0 Defensa Y Justicia
Copa de la Liga Profesional
FT
15.09.2023
Defensa Y Justicia 1 - 0 Boca Juniors
Copa de la Liga Profesional
FT