Aston Villa vs Sunderland

Premier League prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

16 Jun 2026
19 Apr 2026 13:00
ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE REGULAR SEASON - 33
Aston Villa
W D W L W
FT
4 - 3
Sunderland
L D L W W
🏟️ Villa Park
Birmingham
Referee: S. Barrott

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

AI Confidence 62.7% Medium Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 62.7%
View Full Analysis
👕
1X2 Home Win
Confidence 56.3%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 54.8%
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights Over / Under 2.5 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 2.5" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 57.9% Medium
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

81 matches analysed
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Home
VS
Sunderland Away
Sunderland
🎟️ 46 Matches Played
🏆 28 Wins
🎯 1.52 Avg Goals
🎟️ 35 Matches Played
🏆 13 Wins
🎯 1 Avg Goals
46
Matches Played
35
28
Wins
13
7
Draws
11
11
Losses
11
70
Goals For
35
49
Goals Against
38
1.52
Avg Goals Scored
1
1.07
Avg Goals Conceded
1.09
24
BTTS Yes
15
23
Over 2.5
13
16
Clean Sheets
11
9
Failed To Score
12

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.52
Average Goals Scored
1
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
24
BTTS Yes
15
23
Over 2.5
13
4.61
Shots on Goal
3.57

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Aston Villa
Defensive Edge Aston Villa
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 61%
Away Win Rate 37%

Aston Villa show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Aston Villa Aston Villa

Match Statistics

Sunderland Sunderland
7
🎯 Shots on Goal
7
5
Shots off Goal
2
3
🛡️ Blocked Shots
1
4
🚩 Corner Kicks
5
11
🦶 Fouls
11
50%
Ball Possession
50%
15
Total Shots
10
403
Total passes
406
341
Passes accurate
340
1
🟨 Yellow Cards
3
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Aston Villa
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
Last matches: Sunderland
24.05.26
Pre
Sunderland
Chelsea
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
Sunderland
Everton
3
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Sunderland
Manchester United
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pre
Sunderland
Wolves
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
0
5
L
12.04.26
Pre
Sunderland
Tottenham
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Sunderland
Newcastle
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Sunderland
Brighton
0
1
L
08.03.26
FA
Sunderland
Port Vale
0
1
L
03.03.26
Pre
Sunderland
Leeds
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Bournemouth
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Fulham
1
3
L
15.02.26
FA
Sunderland
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Liverpool
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Arsenal
0
3
L
02.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Burnley
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Sunderland
West Ham
1
3
L
17.01.26
Pre
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
10.01.26
FA
Sunderland
Everton
1
1
D
07.01.26
Pre
Sunderland
Brentford
0
3
L
H2H: Aston Villa vs Sunderland
19.04.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
21.09.25
H2H
Sunderland
Aston Villa
1
1
D
06.03.18
H2H
Sunderland
Aston Villa
0
3
W
21.11.17
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
2
1
W
02.01.16
H2H
Sunderland
Aston Villa
3
1
L
29.08.15
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
2
2
D
14.03.15
H2H
Sunderland
Aston Villa
0
4
W
28.12.14
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
0
0
D
01.01.14
H2H
Sunderland
Aston Villa
0
1
W
30.11.13
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
0
0
D
29.04.13
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
6
1
W
03.11.12
H2H
Sunderland
Aston Villa
0
1
W
21.04.12
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
0
0
D
29.10.11
H2H
Sunderland
Aston Villa
2
2
D
05.01.11
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
0
1
L
Last matches: Aston Villa
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brentford
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Red Bull Salzburg
3
2
W
18.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Everton
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Aston Villa
BSC Young Boys
2
1
W
09.11.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
4
0
W
H2H at home: Aston Villa
19.04.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
21.11.17
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
2
1
W
29.08.15
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
2
2
D
28.12.14
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
0
0
D
30.11.13
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
0
0
D
29.04.13
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
6
1
W
21.04.12
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
0
0
D
05.01.11
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
0
1
L
Last matches: Sunderland
17.05.26
Pre
Sunderland
Everton
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
Sunderland
Wolves
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pre
Sunderland
Newcastle
2
1
W
08.03.26
FA
Sunderland
Port Vale
0
1
L
03.03.26
Pre
Sunderland
Leeds
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Bournemouth
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Sunderland
Oxford United
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Arsenal
0
3
L
24.01.26
Pre
Sunderland
West Ham
1
3
L
10.01.26
FA
Sunderland
Everton
1
1
D
07.01.26
Pre
Sunderland
Brentford
0
3
L
04.01.26
Pre
Sunderland
Tottenham
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Sunderland
Brighton
0
0
D
06.12.25
Pre
Sunderland
Manchester City
0
3
L
03.12.25
Pre
Sunderland
Liverpool
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Sunderland
Fulham
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
Sunderland
Chelsea
2
1
W
04.10.25
Pre
Sunderland
Manchester United
0
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pre
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
H2H away: Sunderland
19.04.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
L
21.11.17
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
2
1
L
29.08.15
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
2
2
D
28.12.14
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
0
0
D
30.11.13
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
0
0
D
29.04.13
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
6
1
L
21.04.12
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
0
0
D
05.01.11
H2H
Aston Villa
Sunderland
0
1
W
Aston Villa
Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
Lineups 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
Sunderland 4-2-3-1
Sunderland
23
E. Martinez
2
M. Cash
4
E. Konsa
5
T. Mings
22
I. Maatsen
🎯
24
A. Onana
🟨
8
Y. Tielemans
7
J. McGinn
🎯
6
R. Barkley
27
M. Rogers
11
O. Watkins
⚽ 2🎯
22
R. Roefs
20
N. Mukiele
🟨
13
L. O'Nien
15
O. Alderete
17
R. Mandava
34
G. Xhaka
27
N. Sadiki
🎯🟨
11
C. Rigg
19
H. Diarra
28
E. Le Fee
🎯
9
B. Brobbey
Aston Villa Sunderland ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Premier League Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
Arsenal
38 44 85
W W W W W
2
Manchester City
38 42 78
L D W W D
3
Manchester United
38 19 71
W W D W W
4
Aston Villa
38 7 65
W W D L L
5
Liverpool
38 10 60
D L D L W
6
Bournemouth
38 4 57
D D W W D
7
Sunderland
38 -6 54
W W D D L
8
Brighton
38 6 53
L L W L W
9
Brentford
38 3 53
D D L W L
10
Chelsea
38 6 52
L W D L L
11
Fulham
38 -4 52
W D L L W
12
Newcastle
38 -2 49
L W D W L
13
Everton
38 -3 49
L L D D L
14
Leeds
38 -7 47
L W D W D
15
Crystal Palace
38 -10 45
L D L D L
16
Nottingham Forest
38 -3 44
D L D W W
17
Tottenham
38 -9 41
W L D W W
18
West Ham
38 -19 39
W L L L W
19
Burnley
38 -37 22
D L D L L
20
Wolves
38 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Aston Villa 4 - 3 Sunderland
Aston Villa Timeline Sunderland
1st Half 2 - 1
2'
O. Watkins Assist: J. McGinn
1 - 0
9'
1 - 1
C. Rigg Assist: N. Sadiki
36'
O. Watkins Assist: I. Maatsen
2 - 1
2nd Half 2 - 2
46'
M. Rogers Assist: O. Watkins
3 - 1
63'
C. Rigg ↔ C. Talbi Substitution
63'
O. Alderete ↔ D. Ballard Substitution
63'
R. Mandava ↔ T. Hume Substitution
66'
Noah Sadiki yellow card
70'
I. Maatsen ↔ L. Digne Substitution
70'
R. Barkley ↔ E. Buendia Substitution
80'
O. Watkins ↔ T. Abraham Substitution
80'
J. McGinn ↔ J. Sancho Substitution
84'
B. Brobbey ↔ W. Isidor Substitution
86'
3 - 2
T. Hume normal goal
87'
3 - 3
W. Isidor Assist: E. Le Fee
90'
T. Abraham Assist: L. Digne
4 - 3
90+5'
Nordi Mukiele yellow card
90+8'
Amadou Onana yellow card
90+8'
Daniel Ballard yellow card

Missing Players

Aston Villa 2 missing
-
B. Kamara
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Alysson
Questionable Injury
OUT
Sunderland 5 missing
-
N. Angulo
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. T. Bi
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
R. Mundle
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
B. Traore
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
D. Ballard
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT