Defensor Sporting vs Progreso

Primera División - Apertura prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

11 Jun 2026
27 Apr 2026 22:30
URUGUAY › PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA • APERTURA - 13
Defensor Sporting
W D W L W
FT
1 - 0
Progreso
L D L W W
🏟️ Estadio Luis Franzini
Montevideo
Referee: A. Olmos

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
1X2

Home Win

AI Confidence 66.9% Medium Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 66.9%
View Full Analysis →
🥅
BTTS BTTS Yes
Confidence 62.8%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
Confidence 53.1%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT X-X
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 0-1
Confidence -
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights 1X2 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Home Win" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 36.6% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

24 matches analysed
Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting Home
VS
Progreso Away
Progreso
🎟️ 12 Matches Played
🏆 4 Wins
🎯 0.83 Avg Goals
🎟️ 12 Matches Played
🏆 2 Wins
🎯 0.92 Avg Goals
12
Matches Played
12
4
Wins
2
5
Draws
4
3
Losses
6
10
Goals For
11
8
Goals Against
19
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
0.92
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.58
5
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
4
Clean Sheets
1
5
Failed To Score
6

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

0.83
Average Goals Scored
0.92
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
5
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Progreso
Defensive Edge Defensor Sporting
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 33%
Away Win Rate 17%

Defensor Sporting show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Last matches: Defensor Sporting
07.06.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
31.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
1
1
D
26.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
0
0
D
26.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
1
1
D
02.11.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1
2
L
Last matches: Progreso
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
3
L
09.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
L
H2H: Defensor Sporting vs Progreso
27.04.26
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
0
W
12.01.26
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
0
0
D
19.10.25
H2H
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
2
3
W
20.04.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
2
L
14.11.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
3
0
W
15.06.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
1
D
12.05.24
H2H
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
1
4
W
03.11.22
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
3
1
W
26.10.22
H2H
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
11.02.21
H2H
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
3
3
D
19.08.20
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
2
1
W
05.12.19
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
2
4
L
18.08.19
H2H
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
3
1
L
01.06.19
H2H
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
3
W
02.09.18
H2H
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
Last matches: Defensor Sporting
07.06.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
1
1
D
24.10.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
06.10.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
2
1
W
19.09.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
2
1
W
05.09.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
11.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
CA River Plate
1
0
W
H2H at home: Defensor Sporting
27.04.26
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
0
W
12.01.26
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
0
0
D
20.04.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
2
L
14.11.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
3
0
W
15.06.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
1
D
03.11.22
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
3
1
W
19.08.20
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
2
1
W
05.12.19
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
2
4
L
Last matches: Progreso
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
1
3
L
10.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
29.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Progreso
CA River Plate
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
1
2
L
16.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
3
L
01.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
1
2
L
H2H away: Progreso
27.04.26
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
0
L
12.01.26
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
0
0
D
20.04.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
2
W
14.11.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
3
0
L
15.06.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
1
D
03.11.22
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
3
1
L
19.08.20
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
2
1
L
05.12.19
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
2
4
W
Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting 4-3-3 estimated from previous match
Lineups 4-3-3 vs 4-2-2-2
Progreso 4-2-2-2 estimated from previous match
Progreso
12
K. Dawson
11
L. Agazzi
15
A. Frugone
20
M. Caballero
14
F. Sorondo
↓🟨
6
M. Amaro
77
F. Castro
↓
5
G. Barrios
↓🟨
26
B. Montenegro
9
A. Machado
🟨
97
J. P. Goicochea Del Carpio
↓🟨
1
A. Mehring
🟨
13
H. Carroso
3
F. Garcia
🟨
14
F. Kidd
↓
16
G. Trasante
🟨
17
F. De Leon
↓
5
A. Pinheiro
🟨
8
A. Colombino
29
N. Fernandez
↓
11
N. Lopez
↓
23
M. Copelotti
↓🟨
Defensor Sporting Progreso ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

League Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
Racing Montevideo
15 9 31
?
2
Deportivo Maldonado
15 8 29
?
3
Albion FC
15 10 28
?
4
Penarol
15 7 27
?
5
Central Espanol
15 1 24
?
6
Atletico Torque
15 6 23
?
7
Club Nacional
15 5 22
?
8
Defensor Sporting
15 2 21
?
9
Liverpool Montevideo
15 2 20
?
10
Wanderers
15 -5 20
?
11
Danubio
15 -4 18
?
12
Cerro Largo
15 -3 17
?
13
Boston River
15 -6 17
?
14
Juventud
15 -5 15
?
15
Progreso
15 -11 10
?
16
Cerro
15 -16 10
?

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Defensor Sporting 1 - 0 Progreso
Defensor Sporting Timeline Progreso
1st Half 0 - 0
14'
Francisco Sorondo yellow card
26'
Federico García yellow card
32'
Juan Pablo Goicochea yellow card
36'
Agustin Pinheiro yellow card
2nd Half 1 - 0
46'
↔
F. Sorondo ↔ V. Rodriguez Substitution
46'
↔
J. P. Goicochea Del Carpio ↔ A. Torterolo Substitution
46'
F. Kidd ↔ M. Martin Substitution
↔
58'
Matteo Copelotti yellow card
60'
F. De Leon ↔ J. Dos Santos Substitution
↔
64'
Germán Barrios yellow card
66'
↔
F. Castro ↔ N. Medina Substitution
70'
Gianfranco Trasante yellow card
73'
↔
G. Barrios ↔ N. Wunsch Substitution
73'
↔
B. Lozano Substitution
75'
N. Lopez ↔ S. Viera Substitution
↔
75'
M. Copelotti ↔ D. Sanchez Substitution
↔
76'
Brian Lozano yellow card
81'
N. Fernandez ↔ J. Rivero Substitution
↔
86'
Alexander Machado yellow card
90'
Jonathan Dos Santos yellow card
90'
Andres Mehring yellow card
90'
⚽
N. Wunsch normal goal
1 - 0