Lecce vs Fiorentina

Serie A prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

14 Jun 2026
20 Apr 2026 18:45
ITALY › SERIE A • REGULAR SEASON - 33
Lecce
W D W L W
FT
1 - 1
Fiorentina
L D L W W
🏟️ Stadio Via del Mare
Lecce
Referee: F. Maresca

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

AI Confidence 64.7% Medium Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 64.7%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Away Win
Confidence 55.8%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS Yes
Confidence 64.6%
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights Over / Under 2.5 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 2.5" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 61.7% Medium
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

81 matches analysed
Lecce
Lecce Home
VS
Fiorentina Away
Fiorentina
🎟️ 34 Matches Played
🏆 8 Wins
🎯 0.68 Avg Goals
🎟️ 47 Matches Played
🏆 17 Wins
🎯 1.34 Avg Goals
34
Matches Played
47
8
Wins
17
6
Draws
11
20
Losses
19
23
Goals For
63
48
Goals Against
64
0.68
Avg Goals Scored
1.34
1.41
Avg Goals Conceded
1.36
11
BTTS Yes
28
13
Over 2.5
30
9
Clean Sheets
11
18
Failed To Score
11

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

0.68
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
11
BTTS Yes
28
13
Over 2.5
30
2.29
Shots on Goal
4.06

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Fiorentina
Defensive Edge Fiorentina
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Good Over 2.5 trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 24%
Away Win Rate 36%

Fiorentina show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Lecce Lecce

Match Statistics

Fiorentina Fiorentina
4
🎯 Shots on Goal
3
7
✕ Shots off Goal
2
3
🛡️ Blocked Shots
0
5
🚩 Corner Kicks
2
8
🦶 Fouls
13
55%
◐ Ball Possession
45%
14
⚽ Total Shots
5
373
↔ Total passes
327
293
✓ Passes accurate
253
2
🟨 Yellow Cards
4
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Lecce
24.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Genoa
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
01.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Bologna
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Atalanta
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
1
2
L
08.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Como
1
3
L
21.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
16.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Cagliari
2
0
W
08.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Udinese
2
1
W
01.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Torino
0
1
L
24.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Lazio
0
0
D
18.01.26
Ser
Lecce
AC Milan
0
1
L
14.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
1
L
11.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Parma
1
2
L
06.01.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
2
L
Last matches: Fiorentina
22.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
0
D
16.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Inter
1
1
D
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
08.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Parma
0
0
D
02.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Udinese
0
3
L
26.02.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
2
4
L
23.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Pisa
1
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
14.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Como
2
1
W
07.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Torino
2
2
D
H2H: Lecce vs Fiorentina
20.04.26
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
02.11.25
H2H
Fiorentina
Lecce
0
1
W
28.02.25
H2H
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
0
L
20.10.24
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
0
6
L
02.02.24
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
3
2
W
27.08.23
H2H
Fiorentina
Lecce
2
2
D
19.03.23
H2H
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
0
L
17.10.22
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
15.07.20
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
3
L
30.11.19
H2H
Fiorentina
Lecce
0
1
W
05.05.12
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
0
1
L
15.01.12
H2H
Fiorentina
Lecce
0
1
W
23.01.11
H2H
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
12.09.10
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
0
W
Last matches: Lecce
24.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Genoa
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Atalanta
0
3
L
08.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
08.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Udinese
2
1
W
24.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Lazio
0
0
D
11.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Parma
1
2
L
06.01.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
2
L
27.12.25
Ser
Lecce
Como
0
3
L
12.12.25
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
1
0
W
30.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Torino
2
1
W
08.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
28.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
0
1
L
18.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
0
0
D
28.09.25
Ser
Lecce
Bologna
2
2
D
19.09.25
Ser
Lecce
Cagliari
1
2
L
29.08.25
Ser
Lecce
AC Milan
0
2
L
15.08.25
Cop
Lecce
Juve Stabia
2
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
Lecce
Torino
1
0
W
H2H at home: Lecce
20.04.26
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
20.10.24
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
0
6
L
02.02.24
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
3
2
W
17.10.22
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
15.07.20
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
3
L
05.05.12
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
0
1
L
12.09.10
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
0
W
Last matches: Fiorentina
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
02.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Udinese
0
3
L
19.02.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
14.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Como
2
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Napoli
1
2
L
18.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Bologna
2
1
W
07.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Parma
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
Fiorentina
Lausanne
0
1
L
06.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
3
L
30.11.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
0
2
L
09.11.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
2
2
D
06.11.25
UEF
Fiorentina
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
29.10.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Inter
0
3
L
23.10.25
UEF
Fiorentina
Rapid Vienna
3
0
W
H2H away: Fiorentina
20.04.26
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
20.10.24
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
0
6
W
02.02.24
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
3
2
L
17.10.22
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
15.07.20
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
3
W
05.05.12
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
0
1
W
12.09.10
H2H
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
0
L
Lecce
Lecce 4-2-3-1
Lineups 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
Fiorentina 4-3-3
Fiorentina
30
W. Falcone
17
D. Veiga
5
J. Siebert
44
Tiago Gabriel
⚽🟨
25
A. Gallo
🎯↓
20
Y. Ramadani
79
O. Ngom
↓
50
S. Pierotti
🟨
29
L. Coulibaly
11
K. Ndri
↓
99
W. Cheddira
↓
43
D. de Gea
🟨
2
Dodo
5
M. Pongracic
🟨
6
L. Ranieri
21
R. Gosens
↓
8
R. Mandragora
🎯
44
N. Fagioli
↓
27
C. Ndour
↓
17
J. Harrison
⚽↓
91
R. Piccoli
10
A. Gudmundsson
↓
Lecce Fiorentina ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Serie A Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
Inter
38 54 87
D D W W D
2
Napoli
38 22 76
W W L D W
3
AS Roma
38 28 73
W W W W W
4
Como
38 36 71
W W W D W
5
AC Milan
38 18 70
L W L L D
6
Juventus
38 27 69
D L W D D
7
Atalanta
38 15 59
D L W D L
8
Bologna
38 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio
38 1 54
W L L W D
10
Udinese
38 -3 50
L L W W D
11
Sassuolo
38 -4 49
L L L W D
12
Torino
38 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma
38 -18 45
W L L L W
14
Cagliari
38 -13 43
W W L D W
15
Fiorentina
38 -9 42
D W D L D
16
Genoa
38 -10 41
L L D D L
17
Lecce
38 -22 38
W W L W D
18
Cremonese
38 -25 34
L W W L L
19
Hellas Verona
38 -36 21
L D L D D
20
Pisa
38 -45 18
L L L L L

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Lecce 1 - 1 Fiorentina
Lecce Timeline Fiorentina
1st Half 0 - 1
11'
R. Gosens ↔ L. Balbo Substitution
↔
30'
0 - 1
J. Harrison Assist: R. Mandragora
⚽
2nd Half 1 - 0
56'
↔
K. Ndri ↔ L. Banda Substitution
57'
↔
O. Ngom ↔ O. Gandelman Substitution
57'
↔
W. Cheddira ↔ N. Stulic Substitution
60'
A. Gudmundsson ↔ M. Solomon Substitution
↔
62'
Santiago Pierotti yellow card
71'
⚽
Tiago Gabriel Assist: A. Gallo
1 - 1
72'
Tiago Gabriel yellow card
76'
David De Gea yellow card
79'
Marin Pongračić yellow card
80'
J. Harrison ↔ J. Fazzini Substitution
↔
80'
N. Fagioli ↔ G. Fabbian Substitution
↔
80'
C. Ndour ↔ M. Brescianini Substitution
↔
82'
Jacopo Fazzini yellow card
85'
↔
A. Gallo ↔ C. Ndaba Substitution
90+1'
Manor Solomon yellow card

Missing Players

Lecce 5 missing
-
S. Fofana
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
K. Gaspar
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Berisha
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
F. Camarda
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
R. Sottil
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
Fiorentina 4 missing
-
T. Lamptey
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. Fortini
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
F. Parisi
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
M. Kean
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT