Leeds vs Burnley

Premier League prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

17 Jun 2026
01 May 2026 19:00
ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE • REGULAR SEASON - 35
Leeds
W D W L W
FT
3 - 1
Burnley
L D L W W
🏟️ Elland Road
Leeds
Referee: T. Bramall

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Leeds 3 - 1 Burnley
Leeds Timeline Burnley
1st Half 1 - 0
8'
⚽
A. Stach Assist: J. Bijol
1 - 0
27'
Pascal Struijk yellow card
35'
Bashir Humphreys yellow card
37'
Loum Tchaouna yellow card
40'
Joe Rodon yellow card
2nd Half 2 - 1
48'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin yellow card
52'
⚽
N. Okafor Assist: J. Bogle
2 - 0
54'
J. Laurent ↔ H. Mejbri Substitution
↔
56'
⚽
D. Calvert-Lewin normal goal
3 - 0
65'
↔
N. Okafor ↔ L. Nmecha Substitution
65'
Q. Hartman ↔ Lucas Pires Substitution
↔
65'
J. Ward-Prowse ↔ Florentino Substitution
↔
71'
3 - 1
L. Tchaouna Assist: J. Anthony
⚽
72'
↔
A. Tanaka ↔ S. Longstaff Substitution
72'
↔
A. Stach ↔ B. Aaronson Substitution
75'
Ethan Ampadu yellow card
76'
Z. Flemming ↔ A. Broja Substitution
↔
76'
B. Humphreys ↔ Z. Amdouni Substitution
↔
88'
Hannibal Mejbri yellow card
90+4'
↔
J. Bogle ↔ D. James Substitution
90+4'
↔
D. Calvert-Lewin ↔ W. Gnonto Substitution

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
Corners O/U

Over 7.5 Corners

AI Confidence 90.2% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 90.2%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Home Win
Confidence 56.8%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 40.9%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
Confidence 41.2%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-0
Confidence -
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights Corners O/U as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 7.5 Corners" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 38.2% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

75 matches analysed
Leeds
Leeds Home
VS
Burnley Away
Burnley
🎟️ 39 Matches Played
🏆 11 Wins
🎯 1.36 Avg Goals
🎟️ 36 Matches Played
🏆 5 Wins
🎯 1.11 Avg Goals
39
Matches Played
36
11
Wins
5
15
Draws
8
13
Losses
23
53
Goals For
40
56
Goals Against
71
1.36
Avg Goals Scored
1.11
1.44
Avg Goals Conceded
1.97
23
BTTS Yes
21
22
Over 2.5
19
8
Clean Sheets
4
12
Failed To Score
13

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.97
23
BTTS Yes
21
22
Over 2.5
19
4.26
Shots on Goal
3.11

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Leeds
Defensive Edge Leeds
BTTS Signal Strong BTTS profile
Goals Trend Good Over 2.5 trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 28%
Away Win Rate 14%

Leeds show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Leeds Leeds

Match Statistics

Burnley Burnley
8
🎯 Shots on Goal
3
5
✕ Shots off Goal
2
5
🛡️ Blocked Shots
4
5
🚩 Corner Kicks
0
12
🦶 Fouls
12
48%
◐ Ball Possession
52%
18
⚽ Total Shots
9
452
↔ Total passes
508
359
✓ Passes accurate
421
4
🟨 Yellow Cards
3
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Leeds
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
26.04.26
FA
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Leeds
Norwich
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Arsenal
0
4
L
26.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Fulham
1
0
W
Last matches: Burnley
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
07.02.26
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
0
2
L
02.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Sunderland
0
3
L
24.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Tottenham
2
2
D
17.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Liverpool
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Burnley
Millwall
5
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester United
2
2
D
03.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
H2H: Leeds vs Burnley
01.05.26
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
18.10.25
H2H
Burnley
Leeds
2
0
L
27.01.25
H2H
Burnley
Leeds
0
0
D
14.09.24
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
0
1
L
02.01.22
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
29.08.21
H2H
Burnley
Leeds
1
1
D
15.05.21
H2H
Burnley
Leeds
0
4
W
27.12.20
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
1
0
W
19.09.17
H2H
Burnley
Leeds
4
4
D
09.04.16
H2H
Burnley
Leeds
1
0
L
08.08.15
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
1
1
D
15.03.14
H2H
Burnley
Leeds
2
1
L
21.09.13
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
1
2
L
16.04.13
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
1
0
W
06.11.12
H2H
Burnley
Leeds
1
0
L
Last matches: Leeds
17.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Leeds
Norwich
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Arsenal
0
4
L
17.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Fulham
1
0
W
04.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
4
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Liverpool
3
3
D
03.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
3
1
W
23.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
2
L
24.10.25
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
2
1
W
04.10.25
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
30.08.25
Pre
Leeds
Newcastle
0
0
D
18.08.25
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
0
W
H2H at home: Leeds
01.05.26
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
14.09.24
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
0
1
L
02.01.22
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
27.12.20
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
1
0
W
08.08.15
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
1
1
D
21.09.13
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
1
2
L
16.04.13
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
1
0
W
Last matches: Burnley
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Sunderland
0
3
L
17.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Liverpool
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
20.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
1
1
D
06.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Newcastle
1
2
L
29.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
1
3
L
08.11.25
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
2
3
L
26.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
3
2
W
05.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
1
5
L
30.08.25
Pre
Burnley
Manchester United
2
3
L
16.08.25
Pre
Burnley
Tottenham
0
3
L
H2H away: Burnley
01.05.26
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
L
14.09.24
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
0
1
W
02.01.22
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
L
27.12.20
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
1
0
L
08.08.15
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
1
1
D
21.09.13
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
1
2
W
16.04.13
H2H
Leeds
Burnley
1
0
L
Leeds
Leeds 3-5-2
Lineups 3-5-2 vs 5-4-1
Burnley 5-4-1
Burnley
26
K. Darlow
6
J. Rodon
🟨
15
J. Bijol
🎯
5
P. Struijk
🟨
2
J. Bogle
🎯↓
18
A. Stach
⚽↓
4
E. Ampadu
🟨
22
A. Tanaka
↓
24
J. Justin
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
⚽↓🟨
19
N. Okafor
⚽↓
1
M. Dubravka
2
K. Walker
18
H. Ekdal
5
M. Esteve
12
B. Humphreys
↓🟨
3
Q. Hartman
↓
17
L. Tchaouna
⚽🟨
29
J. Laurent
↓
20
J. Ward-Prowse
↓
11
J. Anthony
🎯
19
Z. Flemming
↓
Leeds Burnley ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Premier League Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
Arsenal
38 44 85
W W W W W
2
Manchester City
38 42 78
L D W W D
3
Manchester United
38 19 71
W W D W W
4
Aston Villa
38 7 65
W W D L L
5
Liverpool
38 10 60
D L D L W
6
Bournemouth
38 4 57
D D W W D
7
Sunderland
38 -6 54
W W D D L
8
Brighton
38 6 53
L L W L W
9
Brentford
38 3 53
D D L W L
10
Chelsea
38 6 52
L W D L L
11
Fulham
38 -4 52
W D L L W
12
Newcastle
38 -2 49
L W D W L
13
Everton
38 -3 49
L L D D L
14
Leeds
38 -7 47
L W D W D
15
Crystal Palace
38 -10 45
L D L D L
16
Nottingham Forest
38 -3 44
D L D W W
17
Tottenham
38 -9 41
W L D W W
18
West Ham
38 -19 39
W L L L W
19
Burnley
38 -37 22
D L D L L
20
Wolves
38 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Leeds 3 - 1 Burnley
Leeds Timeline Burnley
1st Half 1 - 0
8'
⚽
A. Stach Assist: J. Bijol
1 - 0
27'
Pascal Struijk yellow card
35'
Bashir Humphreys yellow card
37'
Loum Tchaouna yellow card
40'
Joe Rodon yellow card
2nd Half 2 - 1
48'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin yellow card
52'
⚽
N. Okafor Assist: J. Bogle
2 - 0
54'
J. Laurent ↔ H. Mejbri Substitution
↔
56'
⚽
D. Calvert-Lewin normal goal
3 - 0
65'
↔
N. Okafor ↔ L. Nmecha Substitution
65'
Q. Hartman ↔ Lucas Pires Substitution
↔
65'
J. Ward-Prowse ↔ Florentino Substitution
↔
71'
3 - 1
L. Tchaouna Assist: J. Anthony
⚽
72'
↔
A. Tanaka ↔ S. Longstaff Substitution
72'
↔
A. Stach ↔ B. Aaronson Substitution
75'
Ethan Ampadu yellow card
76'
Z. Flemming ↔ A. Broja Substitution
↔
76'
B. Humphreys ↔ Z. Amdouni Substitution
↔
88'
Hannibal Mejbri yellow card
90+4'
↔
J. Bogle ↔ D. James Substitution
90+4'
↔
D. Calvert-Lewin ↔ W. Gnonto Substitution

Missing Players

Leeds 1 missing
-
I. Gruev
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Burnley 3 missing
-
Z. Amdouni
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Cullen
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
H. Mejbri
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT