Melbourne Victory vs Sydney

A-League prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

11 Jun 2026
02 May 2026 09:40
AUSTRALIA › A-LEAGUE • QUARTER-FINALS
Melbourne Victory
W D W L W
FT
0 - 1
Sydney
L D L W W
🏟️ AAMI Park
Melbourne
Referee: L. Keevers

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
Corners O/U

Over 7.5 Corners

AI Confidence 92% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 92%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 No Draw
Confidence 80.9%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 30.6%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
Confidence 32.7%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-0
Confidence -
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights Corners O/U as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 7.5 Corners" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 39.4% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

52 matches analysed
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory Home
VS
Sydney Away
Sydney
🎟️ 26 Matches Played
🏆 11 Wins
🎯 1.69 Avg Goals
🎟️ 26 Matches Played
🏆 11 Wins
🎯 1.27 Avg Goals
26
Matches Played
26
11
Wins
11
7
Draws
6
8
Losses
9
44
Goals For
33
33
Goals Against
25
1.69
Avg Goals Scored
1.27
1.27
Avg Goals Conceded
0.96
14
BTTS Yes
9
14
Over 2.5
11
6
Clean Sheets
11
8
Failed To Score
9

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
14
BTTS Yes
9
14
Over 2.5
11
5.69
Shots on Goal
5.12

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Melbourne Victory
Defensive Edge Sydney
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 42%
Away Win Rate 42%

Both teams look closely matched based on season results.

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory

Match Statistics

Sydney Sydney
6
🎯 Shots on Goal
2
8
✕ Shots off Goal
3
2
🛡️ Blocked Shots
1
10
🚩 Corner Kicks
6
7
🦶 Fouls
12
51%
◐ Ball Possession
49%
16
⚽ Total Shots
6
421
↔ Total passes
416
320
✓ Passes accurate
324
0
🟨 Yellow Cards
4
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
25.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
06.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
Last matches: Sydney
23.05.26
A-L
Sydney
Auckland
0
1
L
16.05.26
A-L
Sydney
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
09.05.26
A-L
Sydney
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
26.04.26
A-L
Sydney
Auckland
2
2
D
18.04.26
A-L
Sydney
Perth Glory
0
0
D
11.04.26
A-L
Sydney
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
02.04.26
A-L
Sydney
Brisbane Roar
0
0
D
22.03.26
A-L
Sydney
Newcastle Jets
1
2
L
17.03.26
A-L
Sydney
Melbourne City
0
1
L
07.03.26
A-L
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
2
2
D
01.03.26
A-L
Sydney
Wellington Phoenix
1
0
W
21.02.26
A-L
Sydney
Brisbane Roar
1
0
W
17.02.26
A-L
Sydney
Auckland
1
1
D
14.02.26
A-L
Sydney
Adelaide United
1
2
L
07.02.26
A-L
Sydney
Auckland
0
1
L
31.01.26
A-L
Sydney
Western Sydney Wanderers
4
1
W
26.01.26
A-L
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
0
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Sydney
Wellington Phoenix
0
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Sydney
Macarthur
3
0
W
03.01.26
A-L
Sydney
Melbourne City
0
0
D
H2H: Melbourne Victory vs Sydney
02.05.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
07.03.26
H2H
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
2
2
D
26.01.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
22.11.25
H2H
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
3
0
L
24.01.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
0
W
28.12.24
H2H
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
3
0
L
26.01.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
1
1
D
16.12.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
3
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
0
2
W
04.03.23
H2H
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
26.01.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
1
2
L
08.10.22
H2H
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
2
3
W
07.05.22
H2H
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
1
4
W
25.01.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
19.05.21
H2H
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
2
0
L
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
08.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
0
2
L
18.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
0
0
D
H2H at home: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
26.01.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
24.01.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
0
W
26.01.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
1
1
D
16.12.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
3
0
W
26.01.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
1
2
L
25.01.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
Last matches: Sydney
23.05.26
A-L
Sydney
Auckland
0
1
L
16.05.26
A-L
Sydney
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
11.04.26
A-L
Sydney
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
02.04.26
A-L
Sydney
Brisbane Roar
0
0
D
01.03.26
A-L
Sydney
Wellington Phoenix
1
0
W
07.02.26
A-L
Sydney
Auckland
0
1
L
26.01.26
A-L
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
0
4
L
10.01.26
A-L
Sydney
Macarthur
3
0
W
03.01.26
A-L
Sydney
Melbourne City
0
0
D
20.12.25
A-L
Sydney
Newcastle Jets
0
2
L
13.12.25
A-L
Sydney
Perth Glory
1
0
W
06.12.25
A-L
Sydney
Central Coast Mariners
2
1
W
29.11.25
A-L
Sydney
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
01.11.25
A-L
Sydney
Newcastle Jets
4
1
W
17.10.25
A-L
Sydney
Adelaide United
1
2
L
H2H away: Sydney
02.05.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
W
26.01.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
L
24.01.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
0
L
26.01.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
1
1
D
16.12.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
3
0
L
26.01.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
1
2
W
25.01.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
Lineups 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
Sydney 4-2-3-1
Sydney
40
J. Warshawsky
22
J. Rawlins
21
Roderick
2
J. Davidson
18
F. Lino
10
D. Genreau
↓
8
J. Valadon
17
N. Velupillay
↓
64
J. Mata
↓
11
Clarismario
↓
44
C. Nduka
↓
12
H. Devenish-Meares
23
R. Grant
41
A. Popovic
4
J. Courtney-Perkins
17
B. Garuccio
8
W. Kamijo
🟨
24
P. Okon-Engstler
🟨
44
A. Akon
↓
20
T. Quintal
↓
7
P. A. Quispe Cordova
80
A. Stamatelopoulos
↓
Melbourne Victory Sydney ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

League Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
Newcastle Jets
26 16 48
W D D L W
2
Adelaide United
26 10 43
W W D D W
3
Auckland
26 13 42
D L D D L
4
Melbourne Victory
26 11 40
W D D L W
5
Sydney
26 8 39
D D W D L
6
Melbourne City
26 0 38
L W W W W
7
Macarthur
26 -7 34
W L L W W
8
Wellington Phoenix
26 -12 33
L W L W W
9
Central Coast Mariners
26 -7 32
L W D L D
10
Perth Glory
26 -7 31
W D W D D
11
Brisbane Roar
26 -9 26
L L D D L
12
Western Sydney Wanderers
26 -16 21
L L L L L

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Melbourne Victory 0 - 1 Sydney
Melbourne Victory Timeline Sydney
1st Half 0 - 0
No first half events.
2nd Half 0 - 1
61'
T. Quintal ↔ A. Arslan Substitution
↔
65'
VAR
Clarismario penalty cancelled
68'
Paul Okon-Engstler yellow card
71'
↔
Clarismario ↔ K. Jelacic Substitution
77'
A. Stamatelopoulos ↔ P. Wood Substitution
↔
78'
Wataru Kamijo yellow card
80'
0 - 1
P. Wood normal goal
⚽
81'
A. Akon ↔ R. Youlley Substitution
↔
84'
↔
J. Mata ↔ L. D'Arrigo Substitution
84'
↔
N. Velupillay ↔ M. Grimaldi Substitution
84'
↔
C. Nduka ↔ N. Vergos Substitution
85'
Patrick Wood yellow card
89'
↔
D. Genreau ↔ R. Piscopo Substitution
90+5'
Ahmet Arslan yellow card