Stoke City vs Millwall

Championship prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

17 Jun 2026
21 Apr 2026 18:45
ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP REGULAR SEASON - 44
Stoke City
W D W L W
FT
1 - 3
Millwall
L D L W W
🏟️ Bet365 Stadium
Stoke on Trent
Referee: J. Smith

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Stoke City 1 - 3 Millwall
Stoke City Timeline Millwall
1st Half 0 - 1
5'
Derek Mazou-Sacko yellow card
15'
Casper De Norre yellow card
20'
0 - 1
C. Neghli normal goal
2nd Half 1 - 2
55'
0 - 2
F. Azeez Assist: T. Ballo
59'
L. Baker ↔ L. Cisse Substitution
59'
M. Manhoef ↔ S. Gallagher Substitution
60'
C. Taylor own goal
1 - 2
69'
1 - 3
J. Coburn Assist: C. Neghli
74'
S. N'Zonzi ↔ B. Pearson Substitution
74'
R. Bozenik ↔ M. Smit Substitution
80'
Z. Sturge ↔ D. McNamara Substitution
80'
J. Coburn ↔ M. Ivanovic Substitution
80'
T. Ballo ↔ T. Watson Substitution
81'
Danny McNamara yellow card
85'
F. Azeez ↔ L. Cundle Substitution
85'
C. De Norre ↔ M. Langstaff Substitution

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

AI Confidence 68.4% Medium Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 68.4%
View Full Analysis
👕
1X2 Away Win
Confidence 56.5%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS Yes
Confidence 56.5%
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights Over / Under 2.5 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Under 2.5" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 60.5% Medium
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

89 matches analysed
Stoke City
Stoke City Home
VS
Millwall Away
Millwall
🎟️ 45 Matches Played
🏆 16 Wins
🎯 1.13 Avg Goals
🎟️ 44 Matches Played
🏆 22 Wins
🎯 1.34 Avg Goals
45
Matches Played
44
16
Wins
22
10
Draws
10
19
Losses
12
51
Goals For
59
50
Goals Against
52
1.13
Avg Goals Scored
1.34
1.11
Avg Goals Conceded
1.18
19
BTTS Yes
22
19
Over 2.5
22
14
Clean Sheets
17
16
Failed To Score
8

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
19
BTTS Yes
22
19
Over 2.5
22
3.8
Shots on Goal
4.16

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Millwall
Defensive Edge Stoke City
BTTS Signal Strong BTTS profile
Goals Trend Good Over 2.5 trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 36%
Away Win Rate 50%

Millwall show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Stoke City Stoke City

Match Statistics

Millwall Millwall
4
🎯 Shots on Goal
6
5
Shots off Goal
5
3
🛡️ Blocked Shots
3
11
🚩 Corner Kicks
1
8
🦶 Fouls
11
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
14
327
Total passes
382
234
Passes accurate
294
0
🟨 Yellow Cards
3
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Stoke City
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
West Brom
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Southampton
0
2
L
24.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
1
D
21.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
QPR
0
0
D
Last matches: Millwall
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
25.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Birmingham
3
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Portsmouth
1
3
L
14.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Wrexham
2
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
24.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Charlton
4
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Coventry
1
2
L
H2H: Stoke City vs Millwall
21.04.26
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
21.10.25
H2H
Millwall
Stoke City
2
0
L
15.03.25
H2H
Millwall
Stoke City
1
0
L
09.11.24
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
1
1
D
23.12.23
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
0
0
D
26.08.23
H2H
Millwall
Stoke City
1
0
L
25.02.23
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
0
1
L
30.07.22
H2H
Millwall
Stoke City
2
0
L
19.03.22
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
2
0
W
23.10.21
H2H
Millwall
Stoke City
2
1
L
05.04.21
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
1
2
L
12.09.20
H2H
Millwall
Stoke City
0
0
D
11.01.20
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
0
0
D
26.10.19
H2H
Millwall
Stoke City
2
0
L
27.04.19
H2H
Millwall
Stoke City
0
0
D
Last matches: Stoke City
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
31.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Southampton
0
2
L
21.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
QPR
0
0
D
10.01.26
FA
Stoke City
Coventry
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
2
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Hull City
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
3
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
0
1
L
01.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
5
1
W
18.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
1
0
W
H2H at home: Stoke City
21.04.26
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
09.11.24
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
1
1
D
23.12.23
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
0
0
D
25.02.23
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
0
1
L
19.03.22
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
2
0
W
05.04.21
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
1
2
L
11.01.20
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
0
0
D
Last matches: Millwall
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Wrexham
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Coventry
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Watford
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Millwall
Burnley
1
5
L
01.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Southampton
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
0
2
L
10.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Bristol City
1
0
W
22.11.25
Cha
Millwall
Portsmouth
1
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Millwall
Birmingham
0
4
L
01.11.25
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
2
D
18.10.25
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
1
W
H2H away: Millwall
21.04.26
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
W
09.11.24
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
1
1
D
23.12.23
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
0
0
D
25.02.23
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
0
1
W
19.03.22
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
2
0
L
05.04.21
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
1
2
W
11.01.20
H2H
Stoke City
Millwall
0
0
D
Stoke City
Stoke City 4-2-3-1
Lineups 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
Millwall 4-2-3-1
Millwall
31
G. Bazunu
50
S. Agina
26
A. Phillips
54
R. Otegbayo
17
E. Bocat
15
S. N'Zonzi
12
T. Seko
42
M. Manhoef
8
L. Baker
7
S. Thomas
11
R. Bozenik
13
A. Patterson
4
T. Crama
6
C. Taylor
5
J. Cooper
3
Z. Sturge
49
D. Mazou-Sacko
🟨
24
C. De Norre
🟨
11
F. Azeez
10
C. Neghli
🎯
7
T. Ballo
🎯
19
J. Coburn
Stoke City Millwall ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Championship Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Stoke City 1 - 3 Millwall
Stoke City Timeline Millwall
1st Half 0 - 1
5'
Derek Mazou-Sacko yellow card
15'
Casper De Norre yellow card
20'
0 - 1
C. Neghli normal goal
2nd Half 1 - 2
55'
0 - 2
F. Azeez Assist: T. Ballo
59'
L. Baker ↔ L. Cisse Substitution
59'
M. Manhoef ↔ S. Gallagher Substitution
60'
C. Taylor own goal
1 - 2
69'
1 - 3
J. Coburn Assist: C. Neghli
74'
S. N'Zonzi ↔ B. Pearson Substitution
74'
R. Bozenik ↔ M. Smit Substitution
80'
Z. Sturge ↔ D. McNamara Substitution
80'
J. Coburn ↔ M. Ivanovic Substitution
80'
T. Ballo ↔ T. Watson Substitution
81'
Danny McNamara yellow card
85'
F. Azeez ↔ L. Cundle Substitution
85'
C. De Norre ↔ M. Langstaff Substitution

Missing Players

Stoke City 9 missing
-
A. Ampah
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
A. Cresswell
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
V. Johansson
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
B. Wilmot
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
M. Talovierov
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
J. Tchamadeu
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
T. Rigo
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
B. Gibson
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
B. Lawal
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Millwall 7 missing
-
L. Jensen
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Kelly
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
M. Luongo
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Doughty
Questionable Calf Injury
OUT
-
J. Bryan
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
D. Mazou-Sacko
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
B. Mitchell
Questionable Inactive
OUT