Chelsea vs Leeds

FA Cup prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

11 Jun 2026
26 Apr 2026 14:00
ENGLAND › FA CUP • SEMI-FINALS
Chelsea
W D W L W
FT
1 - 0
Leeds
L D L W W
🏟️ Wembley Stadium
London
Referee: J. Gillett

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

AI Confidence 87.1% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 87.1%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Away Win
Confidence 54.9%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS Yes
Confidence 75.5%
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights Over / Under 2.5 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 2.5" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 72.5% High
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

86 matches analysed
Chelsea
Chelsea Home
VS
Leeds Away
Leeds
🎟️ 48 Matches Played
🏆 22 Wins
🎯 1.92 Avg Goals
🎟️ 38 Matches Played
🏆 11 Wins
🎯 1.39 Avg Goals
48
Matches Played
38
22
Wins
11
10
Draws
15
16
Losses
12
92
Goals For
53
66
Goals Against
55
1.92
Avg Goals Scored
1.39
1.38
Avg Goals Conceded
1.45
28
BTTS Yes
23
34
Over 2.5
22
14
Clean Sheets
8
8
Failed To Score
11

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
28
BTTS Yes
23
34
Over 2.5
22
5.19
Shots on Goal
4.29

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Chelsea
Defensive Edge Chelsea
BTTS Signal Strong BTTS profile
Goals Trend Good Over 2.5 trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 46%
Away Win Rate 29%

Chelsea show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Chelsea Chelsea

Match Statistics

Leeds Leeds
2
🎯 Shots on Goal
3
3
✕ Shots off Goal
5
3
🛡️ Blocked Shots
2
6
🚩 Corner Kicks
4
14
🦶 Fouls
13
55%
◐ Ball Possession
45%
8
⚽ Total Shots
10
494
↔ Total passes
400
425
✓ Passes accurate
323
3
🟨 Yellow Cards
4
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Chelsea
24.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Liverpool
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brighton
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
0
3
L
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
11.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
2
5
L
07.03.26
FA
Chelsea
Wrexham
4
2
W
04.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Aston Villa
4
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Arsenal
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Burnley
1
1
D
13.02.26
FA
Chelsea
Hull City
4
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
07.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Wolves
3
1
W
Last matches: Leeds
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Leeds
Norwich
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Arsenal
0
4
L
26.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Fulham
1
0
W
H2H: Chelsea vs Leeds
26.04.26
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
10.02.26
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
03.12.25
H2H
Leeds
Chelsea
3
1
L
28.02.24
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
2
W
04.03.23
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
21.08.22
H2H
Leeds
Chelsea
3
0
L
11.05.22
H2H
Leeds
Chelsea
0
3
W
11.12.21
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
2
W
13.03.21
H2H
Leeds
Chelsea
0
0
D
05.12.20
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
1
W
19.12.12
H2H
Leeds
Chelsea
1
5
W
Last matches: Chelsea
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Burnley
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
31.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
West Ham
3
2
W
21.01.26
UEF
Chelsea
Pafos
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brentford
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Bournemouth
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
2
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Chelsea
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.11.25
UEF
Chelsea
Barcelona
3
0
W
08.11.25
Pre
Chelsea
Wolves
3
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
H2H at home: Chelsea
26.04.26
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
10.02.26
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
28.02.24
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
2
W
04.03.23
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
11.12.21
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
2
W
05.12.20
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
1
W
Last matches: Leeds
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
26.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Leeds
Derby
3
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Newcastle
3
4
L
01.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Liverpool
0
0
D
28.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
1
1
D
14.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
2
3
L
09.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
01.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
0
3
L
18.10.25
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
0
2
L
20.09.25
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
1
W
H2H away: Leeds
26.04.26
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
L
10.02.26
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
28.02.24
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
2
L
04.03.23
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
L
11.12.21
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
2
L
05.12.20
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
1
L
Chelsea
Chelsea 4-2-3-1
Lineups 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
Leeds 3-4-2-1
Leeds
1
R. Sanchez
27
M. Gusto
23
T. Chalobah
4
T. Adarabioyo
3
M. Cucurella
45
R. Lavia
↓
25
M. Caicedo
🟨
7
P. Neto
🎯🟨
8
E. Fernandez
⚽
49
A. Garnacho
↓
20
Joao Pedro
↓
1
Lucas Perri
24
J. Justin
↓
15
J. Bijol
↓
5
P. Struijk
🟨
2
J. Bogle
🟨
4
E. Ampadu
🟨
22
A. Tanaka
↓
3
G. Gudmundsson
11
B. Aaronson
↓
19
N. Okafor
↓
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
Chelsea Leeds ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Chelsea 1 - 0 Leeds
Chelsea Timeline Leeds
1st Half 1 - 0
23'
⚽
E. Fernandez Assist: P. Neto
1 - 0
2nd Half 0 - 0
46'
J. Justin ↔ J. Rodon Substitution
↔
46'
J. Bijol ↔ A. Stach Substitution
↔
60'
Moisés Caicedo yellow card
66'
↔
R. Lavia ↔ Andrey Santos Substitution
71'
↔
A. Garnacho ↔ C. Palmer Substitution
74'
A. Tanaka ↔ L. Nmecha Substitution
↔
74'
N. Okafor ↔ W. Gnonto Substitution
↔
76'
Pascal Struijk yellow card
77'
Cole Palmer yellow card
78'
Ethan Ampadu yellow card
84'
Lukas Nmecha yellow card
86'
B. Aaronson ↔ S. Longstaff Substitution
↔
90+4'
Pedro Neto yellow card
90+4'
Jayden Bogle yellow card
90+8'
↔
Joao Pedro ↔ L. Delap Substitution